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In the News

Sep 29, 2023

Garlauskas quoted in VOA and iNews

On September 27, Markus Garlauskas was quoted several times in a Voice of America article, “South Korea’s Dilemma: Is North Korea the Only Threat?” He emphasized that South Korea should increase its preparations to deal with threats beyond North Korea, particularly China. The article also referenced IPSI’s recent report on the risks of Chinese intervention […]

Arms Control China

In the News

Sep 29, 2023

Soofer contributes to Project Atom on US nuclear strategy

Rob Soofer outlines prospects for deterring nuclear peer competitors in the latest Project Atom report.

Arms Control China

In the News

Sep 22, 2023

Kroenig, Garlauskas, and Taylor appear as featured panelists at the Korea Society

On September 21, the Scowcroft Center and the Korea Society hosted a joint panel event on “New Nuclear Dynamics of Northeast Asia” in New York City featuring Matthew Kroenig, Markus Garlauskas, and IPSI nonresident fellow Jessica Taylor, alongside Dr. Sue Mi Terry and moderator Jonathan Corrado. The conversation explored issues such as growing PRC and […]

Arms Control China

In the News

Sep 19, 2023

Cynkin interviewed by Yonhap News on intelligence approaches to Russia-North Korea partnership

On September 17, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Thomas Cynkin was quoted in Yonhap News. Cynkin suggested that the United States may benefit from declassifying and disclosing more information related to trade activity between North Korea and Russia, as it did with intelligence on Russian military action prior to the invasion of Ukraine. He explained that […]

Arms Control Indo-Pacific

In the News

Sep 19, 2023

Cynkin appears on VOA “Washington Talk” weekly program

On September 16, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Thomas Cynkin appeared on VOA Korea’s weekly program, “Washington Talk,” regarding the recent meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. He described the North Korean-Russian partnership as an “unholy alliance” and a “marriage of convenience,” particularly as it pertains to nuclear issues, […]

Arms Control Indo-Pacific

In the News

Sep 4, 2023

Garlauskas quoted in the EurAsian Times

On September 3, Markus Garlauskas’s recent comments to Nikkei Asia were quoted in the EurAsian Times. The article underscored Garlauskas’s statement that the world has underestimated the nuclear threat posed by North Korea, particularly “its risk calculus, its willingness to provoke, its willingness to engage in limited acts of aggression.”

Arms Control China

UkraineAlert

Aug 31, 2023

Putin’s Russia must not be allowed to normalize nuclear blackmail

By Olivia Yanchik

Vladimir Putin has used nuclear threats to intimidate the West and reduce the flow of military aid to Ukraine. If this trend does not change, Russia will succeed in normalizing nuclear blackmail as a foreign policy tool, writes Olivia Yanchik.

Arms Control Conflict

In the News

Aug 27, 2023

Garlauskas quoted in Nikkei during 2023 USSTRATCOM Deterrence Symposium

On August 26, Markus Garlauskas was quoted in Nikkei Asia for his statements during the 2023 USSTRATCOM Deterrence Symposium. He explained, “Despite the repeated signals from Russia that it may use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine, the most likely place where a nuclear conflict could take place is the Korean Peninsula.” His comments in this […]

Arms Control China

Report

Aug 16, 2023

The United States and its allies must be ready to deter a two-front war and nuclear attacks in East Asia

By Markus Garlauskas

This report highlights two emerging and interrelated deterrence challenges in East Asia with grave risks to US national security: 1) Horizontal escalation of a conflict with China or North Korea into simultaneous conflict; 2) Vertical escalation to a limited nuclear attack by either or both adversaries to avoid conceding.

Arms Control China

Issue Brief

Aug 16, 2023

Biases blind us to the risk of Chinese military intervention in Korea

By Jonathan Corrado

This paper examines the historical record of cognitive biases, focusing on the US intelligence community’s failure to forecast PRC intervention in the Korean War, despite collecting information and evidence indicative of that outcome.

Arms Control China