Nuclear Deterrence

The specter of Russian tactical nuclear de-escalation strikes, more sophisticated Chinese ballistic-missile submarines, and intercontinental North Korean capabilities all raise the stakes for nuclear deterrence. US policy makers must decide which nuclear posture will allow the United States to credibly deter nuclear war while assuring its allies and partners across the globe.

Content

New Atlanticist

Jun 28, 2023

Reading between the lines of the new North Korea intelligence estimate

By Markus Garlauskas

The US intelligence community has just released its National Intelligence Estimate on North Korea, a watershed analysis. But more is worth adding to the discussion.

China Intelligence

UkraineAlert

Jun 21, 2023

Putin’s nuclear threats will escalate as Ukraine’s counteroffensive unfolds

By Diane Francis

As Ukraine's long-awaited counteroffensive gets underway, there are fears that Russia's deteriorating military predicament could lead to an escalation in Vladimir Putin's nuclear threats, writes Diane Francis.

Conflict Disinformation

Report

Jun 15, 2023

US-China lessons from Ukraine: Fueling more dangerous Taiwan tensions

By John K. Culver, Sarah Kirchberger

The lessons that Washington and Beijing appear to be learning from Russia's war against Ukraine could set the stage for a crisis over Taiwan in the next few years.

China Defense Industry

New Atlanticist

Jun 14, 2023

Before embarking on arms control talks, Biden needs a nuclear deal with Congress

By Robert Soofer

The White House and Congress disagree over the type and number of nuclear weapons needed to deter Russia, China, North Korea, and potentially Iran.

Arms Control China

In the News

Jun 12, 2023

Soofer in RealClear Defense

Dr. Robert Soofer's recent nuclear arms control article was republished in RealClearDefense.

Arms Control Missile Defense

In the News

Jun 8, 2023

Evans-Pritchard Jayanti in Time: The bombing of Ukraine’s Kakhovka Dam affects all of us

By Atlantic Council

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

May 12, 2023

<strong>Garlauskas in <em>War on the Rocks</em></strong>

On May 11, Markus Garlauskas was featured in War on the Rocks for his analysis on North Korea. This piece, which Garlauskas co-authored with Jonathan Corrado from the Korea Society and Rachel Minyoung Lee from the Open Nuclear Network, argues, “Emerging North Korea analysts should learn to read between the lines of propaganda, ditch their […]

Korea Nuclear Deterrence

In the News

May 3, 2023

<strong>Gilbert in <em>StarTribune</em></strong>

On May 2, Lauren Gilbert was featured in StarTribune, discussing President Yoon’s recent state visit to the United States, an evolving US-ROK alliance, and the Washington Declaration. Gilbert explained that the Declaration is “a way of saying that even if South Korea doesn’t have its own nuclear weapons, the U.S. is there and ready to […]

Indo-Pacific Korea

Issue Brief

May 1, 2023

US strategy and force posture for an era of nuclear tripolarity

By Keir Lieber, Daryl G. Press

Keir Lieber and Daryl Press lay out a vision for the future of US nuclear doctrine and strategy under the condition of nuclear tripolarity.

China Defense Policy

UkraineAlert

Apr 28, 2023

Placing Russian nukes in Belarus could destabilize Putin’s last ally

By Olivia Yanchik

Vladimir Putin's decision to place nuclear weapons in Belarus will strengthen Russia's grip on the country but could also spark a new wave of opposition to Belarusian dictator Alyaksandr Lukashenka, writes Olivia Yanchik.

Belarus Civil Society

Experts