Reality Check #10: China will not invade Taiwan

MENASource Aug 25, 2024

After a failed attack, Hezbollah’s propaganda seeks to prevent a wider war with Israel

By David Daoud

Committed as Hezbollah is to saving its Gaza-based allies, the group does not currently want a full war with Israel.
Conflict Israel
Reality Check #10: China will not invade Taiwan

New Atlanticist Aug 21, 2024

How quickly can Taiwan integrate US weapon systems? Speed is essential to help deter China.

By Adam Kozloski

To better prepare Taiwan to defend itself, the United States needs more transparency into Taipei’s weapons integration challenges.
Conflict Defense Policy
Reality Check #10: China will not invade Taiwan

UkraineAlert Aug 21, 2024

Invasion? What invasion? Putin is downplaying Ukraine’s Kursk offensive

By Peter Dickinson

Vladimir Putin’s efforts to downplay Ukraine’s invasion of Russia have severely dented his strongman image and make a mockery of the West’s escalation fears, writes Peter Dickinson.
Conflict Defense Policy

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The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

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Reality Check

Feb 18, 2022

Reality Check #10: China will not invade Taiwan

By Harlan Ullman

Key points Despite Beijing’s longstanding desire to invade and conquer Taiwan and achieve “one China,” China simply lacks the military capability and capacity to launch a full-scale amphibious invasion of Taiwan for the foreseeable future. With a potential defending force of 450,000 Taiwanese today, using the traditional three-to-one ratio of attackers to defenders taught at […]

Africa Conflict

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Grieco in Space News Business: Why space alarmism is wrong and dangerous

By Atlantic Council

On February 17, Kelly Grieco was published in Space News Business with an article on why space alarmism is wrong and dangerous. Grieco explains that the United States has near-superiority in space technology, and that reports comparing adversaries’ space capabilities are often exaggerated or overblown. She argues that US space policy should embrace cooperation with other space-faring […]

China Defense Technologies

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Preble on the Net Assessment podcast: The Pacific is not so Pacific

By Atlantic Council

On February 17, Christopher Preble and his co-hosts of the Net Assessment podcast talked about the Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy, which was released even as the national security advisor was warning of an imminent Russian invasion of Ukraine. The timing seems awkward. So, what was the rush? And what is missing? The podcasters raise several […]

China Economy & Business

New Atlanticist

Feb 17, 2022

Twenty questions (and expert answers) about what’s happening with Ukraine and Russia

By Atlantic Council experts

As the crisis in Eastern Europe continues to unfold, we tapped our expert network to answer the burning questions about the implications for Russia, Ukraine, and the wider world.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Ashford on NPR: How NATO’s eastward expansion set the stage for the standoff in Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On February 17, Emma Ashford was featured on NPR’s Here and Now, discussing the history behind the crisis in Ukraine. “The current standoff on the Ukrainian border began when Russian President Vladimir Putin provoked fears of an invasion, but the roots of the crisis go back decades. “Russia and the West have been at odds about the […]

Eastern Europe English

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Pavel in Defense One on US force posture

By Atlantic Council

Barry Pavel recommends that the Biden Administration ensure their upcoming National Defense Strategy recognizes Russia as a legitimate military threat.

China Defense Policy

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Thomas Warrick in WUSA9 on alleged DC lieutenant ties to white supremacy

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative senior advisor and Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Thomas Warrick advocates for patience and diligence in investigation of DC lieutenant.

Extremism National Security

UkraineAlert

Feb 17, 2022

What would constitute victory for Putin in his war with Ukraine?

By David Batashvili

In order to achieve his long-term foreign policy goal of subjugating a hostile Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin must militarily seize and occupy a large portion of what is the largest country wholly in Europe.

Conflict National Security

Britain Debrief

Feb 17, 2022

#BritainDebrief – What role is Western intelligence playing in the Ukraine crisis? A Debrief from Sir John Sawers

By Ben Judah

Sir John Sawers, the former Chief of MI6, joins #BritainDebrief to discuss the role of intelligence agencies in responding to the crisis in Ukraine.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Marks in Yahoo! News on the Russia-Ukraine Crisis

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft center nonresident senior fellow Ronald Marks considers why Putin would want to invade Ukraine.

Conflict Crisis Management
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Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East programs

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Marvin J. Park

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Indo-Pacific Security Initiative Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

China Defense Policy

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Owen J. Daniels

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Forward Defense Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Defense Industry Defense Policy

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Robert Fardi

Nonresident Senior Fellow, N7 Initiative

Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East programs

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Hannah Hunt

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Forward Defense Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Defense Industry Defense Technologies
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Online Event Mon, May 5, 2025 • 9:00 am ET

Russia’s war in Ukraine: Where are negotiations today?
Conflict Peacekeeping and Peacebuilding
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Belgium’s defense minister on Europe’s evolving security landscape
Europe & Eurasia NATO Security & Defense Western Europe
Public Event Thu, May 8, 2025 • 9:30 am ET

General John Raymond on national security and the future of space commerce

An #ACFRONTPAGE EVENT—Raymond, who served as the first chief of space operations of the US Space Force, talks about maintaining the US military edge as the space domain becomes increasingly contested and congested.

Space Space Security Technology & Innovation United States and Canada
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