As Middle East tensions simmer, the world fixates on the wrong energy market risks

MENASource Aug 25, 2024

After a failed attack, Hezbollah’s propaganda seeks to prevent a wider war with Israel

By David Daoud

Committed as Hezbollah is to saving its Gaza-based allies, the group does not currently want a full war with Israel.
Conflict Israel
As Middle East tensions simmer, the world fixates on the wrong energy market risks

New Atlanticist Aug 21, 2024

How quickly can Taiwan integrate US weapon systems? Speed is essential to help deter China.

By Adam Kozloski

To better prepare Taiwan to defend itself, the United States needs more transparency into Taipei’s weapons integration challenges.
Conflict Defense Policy
As Middle East tensions simmer, the world fixates on the wrong energy market risks

UkraineAlert Aug 21, 2024

Invasion? What invasion? Putin is downplaying Ukraine’s Kursk offensive

By Peter Dickinson

Vladimir Putin’s efforts to downplay Ukraine’s invasion of Russia have severely dented his strongman image and make a mockery of the West’s escalation fears, writes Peter Dickinson.
Conflict Defense Policy

Programs

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

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Content

EnergySource

Sep 17, 2024

As Middle East tensions simmer, the world fixates on the wrong energy market risks

By Ellen Wald

As the anniversary of Hamas’ October 7 attack on Israel approaches, governments and industry leaders fear that Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz, with serious consequences for energy markets. But this move is highly unlikely. Rather, global leaders should be prepared for energy disruptions in other parts of the region.

Conflict Energy & Environment

New Atlanticist

Sep 16, 2024

How Ukraine’s Kursk incursion echoes the Gettysburg campaign

By Gregg Curley

Viewing the Kursk incursion through the lens of the climactic campaign of the US Civil War offers a relevant framework for interpreting Ukraine’s motivations, possible outcomes, and long-term strategic objectives.

Conflict Defense Policy

New Atlanticist

Sep 15, 2024

On the third AUKUS anniversary, a toast to ITAR reform and a call to keep going

By R. Clarke Cooper

The landmark trilateral security partnership has come a long way, but current reform efforts will only reach their potential if additional regulatory adjustments are made.

Australia Defense Industry

Global China

Sep 13, 2024

Global China Newsletter—US-China rivalry in the Middle East and Pacific as 5G Competition Intensifies

By Dexter Tiff Roberts

The September edition of the 2024 Global China Newsletter

China Economy & Business

Report

Sep 13, 2024

A sea of opportunities: Exploring cooperation between Turkey and the West in the Black Sea

By Atlantic Council Turkey Programs

In the political sphere, the interests of Turkey and the West in the Black Sea largely overlap.

Defense Industry Defense Technologies

Report

Sep 13, 2024

A sea of opportunities: Introduction

By Yevgeniya Gaber

Turkey and Western countries need to explore the prospects for enhanced cooperation in the Black Sea region to achieve results together that neither could accomplish alone.

Defense Industry Defense Policy

Report

Sep 13, 2024

Part 2. Maritime security: Redefining regional order in a new security environment

By Serhat Güvenç

A redefinition of the EU-Turkey relations will result with a lasting maritime security arrangement in the Black Sea.

Defense Policy Eastern Europe

Report

Sep 13, 2024

A sea of opportunities: Main takeaways and policy recommendations

By Yevgeniya Gaber

Recommendations for the West and Turkey for enhancing cooperation in defense, maritime security, energy, and political dialogue.

Defense Policy Defense Technologies

Report

Sep 13, 2024

Part 3. Defense cooperation: Turkey’s triangular balancing in the Black Sea region

By Rich Outzen

For stability in the Black Sea region, the West should seek to converge with its most potent regional ally, Turkey.

Conflict Defense Industry

Report

Sep 13, 2024

Part 1. Political and diplomatic dialogue: Challenges and opportunities for Black Sea cooperation between Turkey and the West in the post-2022 environment

By Maryna Vorotnyuk

Turkey and the West should explore avenues of cooperation and fostering a more cooperative engagement culture.

Eastern Europe Europe & Eurasia
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Experts

Expert bio

Brett McGurk

Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East programs

English Middle East

Fellow

Marvin J. Park

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Indo-Pacific Security Initiative Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

China Defense Policy

Fellow

Owen J. Daniels

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Forward Defense Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Defense Industry Defense Policy

Fellow

Robert Fardi

Nonresident Senior Fellow, N7 Initiative

Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East programs

Economy & Business Israel

Fellow

Hannah Hunt

Nonresident Senior Fellow

Forward Defense Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security

Defense Industry Defense Technologies

Staff

Ellie Sennett 

Editor

Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East programs

Arabic Middle East
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Events

Online Event Thu, May 1, 2025 • 10:00 am ET

Strengthening US shipbuilding: Congress’s role in maritime revitalization
Defense Industry Defense Policy Defense Technologies Maritime Security
Public Event Thu, May 1, 2025 • 1:00 pm ET

Underwater mayhem: Countering NATO energy & critical infrastructure threats
Energy & Environment Energy Markets & Governance Europe & Eurasia European Union
Public Event Mon, May 19, 2025 • 9:00 am ET

US-Latvia Resilience Conference
Europe & Eurasia Resilience & Society Security & Defense