Middle East Programs Commentary & Analysis

Our blogs feature thoughtful reflections and opinions on current events in the Middle East & North Africa.

Through our Middle East Programs, the Atlantic Council works with allies and partners in Europe and the wider Middle East to protect US interests, build peace and security, and unlock the human potential of the region.

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All commentary & analysis

IranSource

May 21, 2018

The Regional Consequences of Trump’s Decision to Ditch the Iran Nuclear Deal

By Rachel Ansley

Though Iran has thus far remained in compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the US decision to withdraw from the nuclear deal could be the first domino to fall, setting off a chain of escalatory events throughout the region.  “This change is US policy is happening at a time when the region […]

Iran Iraq

IranSource

May 18, 2018

The Iran Nuclear Deal’s Accidental Achievement

By Suzanne Kianpour

US President Donald J. Trump delivered on his campaign promise and finally withdrew the United States from the Iran nuclear deal; a giant question mark looms. When the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was agreed in July 2015, the priority for the P5+1 was to keep Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. The United […]

Iran

IranSource

May 18, 2018

The Iran Deal Without America

By Mehran Haghirian

In the aftermath of the US announcement that it was quitting the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the other signatories are struggling to convince Iran to remain within the agreement. European officials have been particularly outspoken, reflecting anger at a potentially fatal blow to a signature diplomatic achievement that touches their core security concerns. […]

European Union International Organizations

New Atlanticist

May 17, 2018

Has The United States Jeopardized Its Prospects For ‘The Ultimate Deal’ In The Middle East?

By Rachel Brandenburg

Early in his presidency, Donald J. Trump set out to achieve “the ultimate deal”: Israeli-Palestinian peace. The US president deputized his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, with the task, claiming the feat could be achieved within the first year of his administration. A little over a year later that “ultimate deal” is nowhere to be seen. Instead, […]

Israel Middle East

IranSource

May 17, 2018

Iran’s Salafi Jihadis

By Scheherezade Faramarzi

Last year’s attacks in Tehran by Islamic State recruits reflect Shia Iran’s ambiguous, inconsistent and at times contradictory relationship with Sunni Salafists. While tough on extremist groups threatening its sovereignty or military presence in Syria, the Iranian government has often turned a blind eye to such groups to allow them to fight US forces in […]

Iran

Event Recap

May 15, 2018

Europe Faces Historic Test After US Quits Iran Nuclear Deal

By Future of Iran Initiative

One week after President Donald J. Trump’s announcement that the United States is withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and re-imposing sanctions, dismayed European parliamentarians spoke at the Atlantic Council with a clear voice: European sovereignty is at stake and Europe will take the necessary measures to defend it. “There was, until […]

European Union France

IranSource

May 15, 2018

Hard Choices in Tehran after the US Quits the Iran Deal

By Farhad Rezaei

In the aftermath of the Trump administration’s decision to leave the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), Iranian hardliners have called on the government to also pull out and immediately accelerate Iran’s nuclear program. Kayhan, a newspaper that is considered the mouthpiece of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and Javan, an outlet close to the […]

Iran

IranSource

May 14, 2018

Concern and Uncertainty After Iran Deal Exit

By Owen Daniels

On May 8, 2018, President Donald J. Trump announced the United States would re-impose sanctions on Iran and withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) – better known as the Iran nuclear deal. On May 9, the Middle East Security Initiative (MSI) in the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security convened […]

Iran

IranSource

May 14, 2018

Europeans Seek to Preserve Iran Nuclear Deal

By Rachel Ansley

The European signatories to the Iran nuclear deal are seeking ways to soften the bite of US sanctions on companies doing business in the Islamic Republic, David O’Sullivan, the European Union’s ambassador to the United States, said at the Atlantic Council on May 14. Though upset by US President Donald J. Trump’s decision to withdraw […]

European Union International Organizations

IranSource

May 11, 2018

The President’s Speech and the Prospects of an Iranian-Israeli War

By Ehud Eiran

The evening US President Donald J. Trump took the United States out of Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), it smelled in Israel as if war was coming. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu cut short a trip to Cyprus. His Chief of Staff canceled  his speech in the prestigious Herzliya conference. A few minutes before President […]

Iran Israel