Marking one year of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine
Issue Brief Aug 22, 2022
Sweden and Finland are on their way to NATO membership. Here’s what needs to happen next.
By John R. Deni
In response to Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine, Finland and Sweden took the historic step of applying to join NATO. Both nations will bring modern capabilities that will help defend against malign actors. As Finland and Sweden’s membership is forthcoming, Alliance leaders, NATO watchers, and transatlantic security experts need to consider how to fully integrate the new allies, include them in operational plans, and best enhance defense of a longer border with Russia.
The NATO Summit
At the last NATO Summit, which Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg deemed “historic and transformative,” leaders gathered to address “the most serious security crisis we have faced.” Our experts break down everything you need to know, from the expansion of the Alliance to the plan for its strategic future.
Scorecard Jul 7, 2022
Scowcroft Strategy Scorecard: NATO’s Strategic Concept clear on threats, but will require sustained commitment from Alliance
By Atlantic Council
Several of the Scowcroft Center’s strategy experts analyzed the Alliance’s new Strategic Concept, assessing the strategy based on five criteria. The reviewers generally agreed that the document was clear-sighted about threats facing the Alliance. However, implementing the ambitious strategy will require sustained commitment and high investment from Alliance members. Here are the full assessments.
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Modernize the kit and the message
by H.E. Dame Karen Pierce DCMG
NATO will only remain successful over the next seventy years if it modernizes its capabilities, takes command of emerging technology, and harmonizes its strategic messaging.
Open a bank
by Max Bergmann and Siena Cicarelli
NATO can fund critical defense investments by bringing the necessary financial tools in house.
Design a Digital Marshall Plan
by the Hon. Ruben Gallego and the Hon. Vicky Hartzler
NATO allies, led by the United States, must cooperate in securing national 5G communications systems in Europe and beyond against malign Chinese influence.
Rethink and replace two percent
by Derek Chollet, Steven Keil, and Christopher Skaluba
NATO’s two percent metric is reductive and politically fraught but offers lessons for better ways to measure burden sharing.
Build an Atlantic-Pacific Partnership
by James Hildebrand, Harry W.S. Lee, Fumika Mizuno, Miyeon Oh, and Monica Michiko Sato
NATO is the only institution capable of organizing transatlantic and transpacific stakeholders to address China’s political, military, and information threats.
Disband the NATO Response Force
by John R. Deni
Replacing the NRF with a plug-and-play interoperability model increases the chance that NATO will employ its high-readiness forces.
Build resilience for an era of shocks
by Jim Townsend and Anca Agachi
NATO needs a fourth core task to protect allied populations from nontraditional threats like COVID and climate change.
‘Game out’ decision making
by AM Sir Christopher Harper, KBE, RAF (Ret.)
In an era where the distinction between peace and conflict is increasingly complex, NATO should retain its competitive advantage by using synthetic environments and virtual worlds to support rapid, efficient, and effective strategic decision making.
Digitalize the enterprise
by Jeffrey Reynolds and Jeffrey Lightfoot
If NATO is to unlock new frontiers of innovation and harness emerging technology, digitalizing how it does business is the key.
Listen to women
by Lisa A. Aronsson
Twenty years after its creation, NATO should affirm the strategic significance of the Women, Peace, and Security Agenda and define what it means for an era of great power competition.
Ramp up on Russia
by Amb. Alexander Vershbow
NATO needs to increase the costs for Russian aggression while building back crucial dialogue if there is any prospect for improved relations with Moscow.
Put NATO back in the narrative
by Bridget Corna and Livia Godaert
NATO can recapture the imagination of allied publics by telling its own story better and in new ways to new audiences.
Seek membership for Mexico
by Christopher Skaluba and Gabriela R. A. Doyle
Mexico’s membership in NATO may be the key to keeping a rapidly changing America invested in European security.
by Safa Shahwan Edwards, William Loomis, and Simon Handler
NATO should adopt a digital .2 percent policy whereby member states commit to spend .2 percent of their gross domestic product on cybersecurity and digital defense modernization.
Christen a carrier strike group
by Michael John Williams
Using the HMS Queen Elizabeth and HMS Prince of Wales as its backbone, a NATO carrier strike group is an opportunity for high-end interoperability under European leadership.
End the Russian veto on Georgian accession
by Luke Coffey and Alexis Mrachek
Admitting Georgia to NATO without extending an Article 5 guarantee to Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali Region can fulfil the promise of the Bucharest Summit.
Threaten decisive nuclear retaliation
by David Gompert and Hans Binnendijk
NATO should thwart Russian use of nuclear weapons by threatening certain retaliation.
Revitalize NATO’s grand strategy
by Amb. Timo Koster and Ivanka Barzashka
Collective strategic analysis is the pathway to a more inclusive, transparent, and systematic process for creating NATO’s next strategic concept.
Set NATO’s sights on the High North
by Jim Danoy and Marisol Maddox
Security in the Arctic is waiting on no one. NATO needs a strategy for defense and deterrence in the High North before it is outflanked.
The Transatlantic Security Initiative, in the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, shapes and influences the debate on the greatest security challenges facing the North Atlantic Alliance and its key partners.