Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Explore the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s latest insights, commentary, articles, media hits, and in-depth reports

All commentary & analysis

In the News

Dec 23, 2021

Preble on the Net Assessment podcast: A slavish devotion to presence?

By Atlantic Council

On December 23, Christopher Preble and co-hosts debated US global posture in the Net Assessment podcast. How can the National Defense Strategy bring resources and requirements into alignment? With the Defense Department having just completed its global posture review, is Bob Work right that the U.S. Navy needs to shed its attachment to presence? Is […]

English Politics & Diplomacy

Report

Dec 23, 2021

Proactively countering North Korea’s advancing nuclear threat

By Markus Garlauskas

Markus Garlauskas suggests a strategy to counter North Korean nuclear weapons by impeding the growth of its arsenal, investing to stay ahead of new nuclear threats, and adjusting operations on the Korean Peninsula.

Defense Policy Defense Technologies

In the News

Dec 23, 2021

Warrick in the Hill on preventing extremist recruitment

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Thomas S. Warrick considers how to avoid extremist recruitment of unvaccinated service members.

Coronavirus Defense Policy

In the News

Dec 22, 2021

Kroenig in Strategic Studies Quarterly on emerging technology and nuclear stability

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center Deputy Director Matthew Kroenig writes on the impact of new technology on strategic stability.

Arms Control China

Issue Brief

Dec 22, 2021

Beyond the peninsula: US-ROK cooperation on digital connectivity in the Indo-Pacific

By Miyeon Oh

This issue brief examines digital connectivity efforts through a snapshot of Indonesia and Vietnam to show how China’s neighbors in Asia are on different trajectories in response to US-China strategic competition.

China Digital Policy

Report

Dec 22, 2021

Seizing the advantage: A vision for the next US national defense strategy

By Clementine G. Starling-Daniels, Tyson Wetzel, Christian Trotti

In this latest installment of the Atlantic Council Strategy Papers series, Forward Defense’s Clementine Starling, Lt Col Tyson Wetzel, and Christian Trotti articulate their vision and recommendations for the next US National Defense Strategy, including clearer prioritization, investments and divestments, reposturing of US forces, a new warfighting concept, and a focus on transnational threats like hybrid warfare and climate change.

China Defense Industry

In the News

Dec 21, 2021

Cooper in Breaking Defense on deterrence during Great Power Competition

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Scott Cooper writes on the importance of air power to deterrence in the context of great power competition with Russia and China.

China Conflict

New Atlanticist

Dec 21, 2021

Can China’s Communist Party defuse its demographic time bomb?

By Dexter Tiff Roberts

For both China’s leaders and its people, the trials of an aging population will define the decades to come.

China Economy & Business

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Dec 21, 2021

The top twelve risks and opportunities for 2022

By Mathew Burrows, Robert A. Manning

With ongoing vaccination challenges in much of the world and the worrying emergence of the Omicron variant, along with supply bottlenecks plus rising inflation and debt, the pandemic continues to exert its relentless push and pull on a beleaguered world.

Climate Change & Climate Action Conflict

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Dec 21, 2021

Global Foresight 2022

The inaugural edition of a new annual report from the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, home for the last decade to one of the world’s premier strategic foresight shops.

Report

Dec 20, 2021

The domestic challenges that threaten China’s superpower future

By Dexter Tiff Roberts

This report examines the key internal challenges Xi Jinping and the CCP face as China's economy undergoes its biggest transition in decades, and how these challenges will affect how China deals with the world moving forward.

China East Asia

Fast Thinking

Dec 17, 2021

FAST THINKING: Russia calls for a Cold War-style Europe. Will NATO give in?

By Atlantic Council

As tensions tick up on the eastern front, our experts break it all down for you.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Dec 17, 2021

Kroenig and Ashford reflect on US foreign policy in 2021 and debate the year ahead

By Atlantic Council

On December 17, Foreign Policy published a biweekly column featuring Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig and New American Engagement Initiative senior fellow Emma Ashford assessing the latest news in international affairs. In their last column of 2021, they reflect on major foreign policy events that shaped the year, debate the limits of US power and leadership, […]

Afghanistan Arms Control

Issue Brief

Dec 16, 2021

What is “Common Prosperity” and how will it change China and its relationship with the world?

By Dexter Tiff Roberts

This issue brief examines the key reasons behind Xi Jinping's drive towards "common prosperity" and how it will change China and its relationship with the world.

China East Asia

In the News

Dec 15, 2021

Handler in Lawfare: The strategic intelligence value of ransomware

By Atlantic Council

Cyber Statecraft Initiative Fellow Simon Handler explains that focusing on ransomware as criminal activity overlooks the real strategic value these operations can provide their owners.

Conflict Cybersecurity

Issue Brief

Dec 15, 2021

Nuclear priorities for the Biden administration

By John Harvey and Robert Soofer

Former nuclear deterrence policymakers John Harvey and Robert Soofer, from Democratic and Republican administrations, respectively, propose a path for the Biden administration's nuclear strategy and policy.

China Defense Policy

In the News

Dec 14, 2021

Ashford in Foreign Affairs: “If dictators fear Western interventions, nuclear development is an unfortunate yet likely outcome”

By Atlantic Council

On December 14, Ashford was featured in a Foreign Affairs “Ask the Experts” roundup on the future of nuclear proliferation. “Two factors seem likely to push proliferation in the near term. First, the balance of power is shifting toward a more multipolar world, in which it is likely that smaller states may feel more threatened […]

English Iraq

In the News

Dec 14, 2021

Jain quoted in the Hill on Biden’s Summit for Democracy

On December 8, Scowcroft Center director for democratic order Ash Jain was quoted in The Hill discussing criteria for country selection and participation in the Biden administration’s Summit for Democracy. He argued that the summit should include democracies with shared values and exclude backsliding democracies and authoritarian countries.

Politics & Diplomacy Rule of Law

Issue Brief

Dec 14, 2021

Missile defense: The end of the interim solution

By Patrick O’Reilly

Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow and former US Missile Defense Agency director Patrick O'Reilly argues that the time is now to invest in directed energy missile defense.

China Defense Policy

Future of DHS

Dec 13, 2021

Warrick in Bloomberg Government on DHS Office of Strategy, Policy, and Plans

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Thomas Warrick comments on the importance of DHS Office of Strategy, Policy, and Plans.

Extremism Intelligence

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