Featured commentary & analysis

The Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative provides strategic insight, trend evaluation and risk analysis to help elevate and sharpen the assessment of our connected, complex, and rapidly evolving world.

Featured in-depth research & reports

The Initiative leverages in-house expertise and cutting-edge tools such as data analytics, modeling, and simulations to provide pioneering research and analysis about the most important challenges of today and tomorrow.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

The Atlantic Council Strategy Papers series (ACSP) is the Atlantic Council’s flagship outlet for publishing high-level, strategic thinking. The series seeks to develop and promote sustainable, non-partisan strategies on the most important challenges facing the United States and its allies. The papers are authored by leading authorities and including a range of established and emerging strategic thinkers, from within and outside the Atlantic Council. The series is overseen by the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and works in conjunction with other Atlantic Council Centers to create regional strategy task forces focusing on East Asia, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Iran.




Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Incorporating Risk into National Security Planning

Risk is a critical concept for helping decision-makers identify and make policy choices that support strategic priorities, but it is often mis-applied. To ensure that risk is appropriately informing strategic decision-making, it is essential to avoid some common pitfalls by taking the approach described.

Strategy Consortium by Malia K. Du Mont

National Security Security & Defense

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Strategic priorities for the next administration

What should be the strategic priorities for the next US presidential administration?

Strategy Consortium by Atlantic Council

China National Security

Fri, Jan 25, 2019

How to strengthen the US approach to artificial intelligence

TO: US National Security Community FROM: Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis DATE: January 25, 2019 SUBJECT: How to Strengthen the US Approach to Artificial Intelligence This Strategic Insights Memo (SIM) outlines and assesses the US government’s current approach to artificial intelligence (AI). Despite significant progress, the US Government (USG) is not where it […]

Strategic Insights Memo by Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis

Defense Technologies National Security

Fri, Jan 18, 2019

Burrows quoted by the Sun on ISIS cyber capabilities

In the News by Mathew Burrows

Conflict Cybersecurity

Thu, Dec 20, 2018

Top 10 risks of 2019

Unfortunately, 2018 will not go down as a very memorable year in turning the page on the big issues of our time.  Trump is right to claim credit for starting a dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jung-un, but even that faces tests—as we outline—in the coming year. 

New Atlanticist by Robert A. Manning and Mathew J. Burrows

Conflict European Union

Mon, Oct 29, 2018

Burrows Quoted in Vox on the Collapse of the Political Center

Read the full article here.

In the News by Matthew Burrows

Wed, Oct 3, 2018

Artificial Intelligence and National Security

TO: US National Security Community FROM: Matthew Kroenig and Anastasia Kazteridis DATE: October 3, 2018 SUBJECT: Artificial Intelligence and National Security This Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Strategic Insights Memo briefly frames the emerging issue of artificial intelligence (AI) and its implications for national security. It provides: A brief primer on AI;Its possible applications […]

Strategic Insights Memo by Matthew Kroenig and Anastasia Kazteridis

China Defense Technologies

Fri, Aug 24, 2018

Engelke in World Economic Forum: Three ways the Fourth Industrial Revolution is shaping geopolitics

Read the full article here.

In the News by Peter Engelke

Mon, Aug 20, 2018

Manning Joins MarketPlace to Discuss Global Tech Race

Listen to the full discussion here.

In the News by Robert Manning

Tue, Jul 24, 2018

Tech Revolt: Why Are Silicon Valley Employees Fighting Government Contracts?

We live in an increasingly technological world—Fitbits monitor our health, Alexa organizes our homes, and social media guide our social lives. Global efforts to develop and implement artificial intelligence (AI) are escalating into what some call an arms race, and cybersecurity is becoming a central security concern as hacking of governments and tech companies occurs […]

FutureSource by Giulia Neaher