Defense foresight

Identifying the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

Forward-looking…

Strategy requires foresight. Leveraging the Scowcroft Center’s cutting-edge strategic foresight practice, Forward Defense helps identify the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

Emerging military technology

Nontraditional threats

Modeling the geopolitical future

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Experts and futurists

More on defense foresight & technology

In the News

Feb 20, 2020

Jensen writes fictional account of future great-power conflict

By Atlantic Council

Senior Fellow Benjamin Jensen uses fiction to explore the future battlefield.

China Conflict

In the News

Feb 18, 2020

Rodriguez quoted in Wall Street Journal on China and corporate AI adoption

By Atlantic Council

Atlantic Council Senior Advisor Stephen Rodriguez argues that China lags in commercial enterprise adoption of AI technologies.

China Defense Industry
3D Printing

New Atlanticist

Feb 7, 2020

In an era of great-power competition, procurement reform not more regulation for the defense industrial base

By Tate Nurkin

What strategic gains can DoD realize from being a better customer? Given the reluctance of the US commercial sector to engage in defense work and the speedy innovation of our rivals, reform is needed.

Defense Industry Defense Policy

In the News

Jan 1, 2020

Nurkin’s January 2020 Deftech Scan report released by Armasuisse

By Atlantic Council

In January, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Tate Nurkin published the latest issue of Deftech Scan. Published by Armasuisse (the Swiss Federal Office for Defense Procurement), Deftech Scan is a publication intended to give an overview of new technologies and capabilities in the defense sector. In the January edition, Nurkin focused specifically on the “intelligentization of warfare” and what enhanced, AI-enabled technologies may portend for modern war-fighting.

Defense Technologies Intelligence
Candle in the Dark Destruction Cole

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Dec 10, 2019

A candle in the dark: US national security strategy for artificial intelligence

By Tate Nurkin, Stephen Rodriguez

AI is expected to have a transformational impact on the future of geopolitics, defense, and security. In this fluctuating environment, where the US is engaged in a high-stakes competition with is near-peer adversaries, and AI is enabling paradigm-shifting changes in public and private sector operations, how should the US respond?

Artificial Intelligence China

Forward Defense leads the Atlantic Council’s US and global defense programming, developing actionable recommendations for the United States and its allies and partners to compete, innovate, and navigate the rapidly evolving character of warfare. Through its work on US defense policy and force design, the military applications of advanced technology, space security, strategic deterrence, and defense industrial revitalization, it informs the strategies, policies, and capabilities that the United States will need to deter, and, if necessary, prevail in major-power conflict.