Defense foresight

Identifying the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

Forward-looking…

Strategy requires foresight. Leveraging the Scowcroft Center’s cutting-edge strategic foresight practice, Forward Defense helps identify the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

Emerging military technology

Nontraditional threats

Modeling the geopolitical future

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Experts and futurists

More on defense foresight & technology

Report

Sep 13, 2024

A sea of opportunities: Introduction

By Yevgeniya Gaber

Turkey and Western countries need to explore the prospects for enhanced cooperation in the Black Sea region to achieve results together that neither could accomplish alone.

Defense Industry Defense Policy

Report

Sep 13, 2024

A sea of opportunities: Main takeaways and policy recommendations

By Yevgeniya Gaber

Recommendations for the West and Turkey for enhancing cooperation in defense, maritime security, energy, and political dialogue.

Defense Policy Defense Technologies

Report

Sep 13, 2024

Part 3. Defense cooperation: Turkey’s triangular balancing in the Black Sea region

By Rich Outzen

For stability in the Black Sea region, the West should seek to converge with its most potent regional ally, Turkey.

Conflict Defense Industry

UkraineAlert

Sep 10, 2024

Escalation management is the appeasement of the 21st century

By Peter Dickinson

The West's emphasis on avoiding escalation following Russia's invasion of Ukraine is the modern equivalent of the appeasement policies that emboldened Hitler and set the stage for WWII, writes Peter Dickinson.

Defense Policy Defense Technologies

Issue Brief

Sep 10, 2024

Russian and Chinese strategic missile defense: Doctrine, capabilities, and development

By Jacob Mezey

In a follow up to Matthew R. Costlow and Robert M. Soofer's paper, US Homeland Missile Defense: Room for Expanded Roles, former Forward Defense Program Assistant, Jacob Mezey, seeks to inform debates about missile defense policy by placing arguments that US ballistic missile defenses are uniquely destabilizing in the context of efforts by Russia and China to deploy similar systems.

China Defense Policy

Forward Defense leads the Atlantic Council’s US and global defense programming, developing actionable recommendations for the United States and its allies and partners to compete, innovate, and navigate the rapidly evolving character of warfare. Through its work on US defense policy and force design, the military applications of advanced technology, space security, strategic deterrence, and defense industrial revitalization, it informs the strategies, policies, and capabilities that the United States will need to deter, and, if necessary, prevail in major-power conflict.