Macroeconomics

The global economy appears to be in good health, but beneath the surface important shifts are underway. China is challenging US leadership in many arenas. Unprecedented loose monetary policy continues to underpin growth in advanced economies, while fiscal policy remains inconsistent. Trade tensions threaten economic expansion. Inequality between and within countries is on the rise. The economic performance of just one country can affect economies across the world, making it important to promote sustainable and inclusive growth everywhere.

Content

New Atlanticist

May 20, 2020

The day after COVID-19 and saving emerging markets

By Mohammed Soliman and Francisco Campos

While developed markets have responded with historical levels of fiscal stimulus, globally there is immediate fiscal need in the emerging markets to tackle the health and economic fallout.

Africa Coronavirus

New Atlanticist

May 18, 2020

India’s new COVID MSME package: Critical assistance or symbolic gesture?

By Ketki Bhagwati

The plan's centerpiece, the loan guarantee program, which transfers the full liability of loan losses of eligible borrowers to the exchequer, however, appears ill-conceived at a time when the government is scrambling to contain the fiscal deficit. Structuring the program to cover the credit and performance risks of MSME loan portfolios of financial institutions through risk participation or risk sharing would have been a wiser choice for the government.

Coronavirus India

New Atlanticist

May 18, 2020

Partial Eurobond not the answer to Europe’s coronavirus economic downturn

By Bart Oosterveld

Some have argued that a partial Eurobond instrument, backed for example by France, Italy, and Spain, could be set up as a risk sharing and/or solidarity tool to partially finance the recovery out of the economic downturn caused by the pandemic. This is a truly awful idea as such an instrument would deliver none of the potential benefits of a Eurobond, while simultaneously creating asymmetric risks on capital markets.

Coronavirus European Union

New Atlanticist

May 15, 2020

Income inequality and life after coronavirus: Flattening the spread

By Alexis Crow

This will be a “crisis wasted” if we do not acknowledge and instill the principles of solidarity and subsidiarity, the dignity of work, and the recognition that each person matters and has something unique to contribute to society.

Coronavirus Inclusive Growth

New Atlanticist

May 14, 2020

Iran’s stock market: Growth in the midst of a recession?

By Sara Bazoobandi

Given the overall economic conditions in Iran (i.e. low growth, production and consumption) maintaining the growth of the stock exchange will be challenging both for the companies and the government.

Financial Sanctions and Economic Coercion Iran

New Atlanticist

May 14, 2020

Can India make an opportunity out of crisis?

By Ajay Chhibber

India is between a rock and a hard place. The lockdowns have not reduced the increase in coronavirus spread and its economy has cratered. Modi's new stimulus package is intended to save lives and livelihoods and reset the economy. But, if it will be enough will depend on what it contains and more importantly on how it is implemented.

Coronavirus Inclusive Growth

In the News

May 13, 2020

Åslund quoted by The Washington Post on Ukraine’s IMF prospects

By Atlantic Council

Corruption English

Digital currencies

May 13, 2020

Revamped Libra takes further steps to gain credibility

By Michael Greenwald

In hiring Stuart Levey, Facebook has exhibited a doubling down on their desire to create a digital currency that will be recognized and used by governments around the world.

Digital Currencies Financial Regulation

New Atlanticist

May 11, 2020

How to deal with the coming pandemic debt crisis?

By Hung Tran

Even if inflation and interest rates remain low, the burden of servicing a quickly growing volume of debt will crowd out other important public expenditures, escalating the political fight over budgetary priorities amidst heightened social tension. It is important to have a public debate about post-pandemic fiscal strategy which is effective and equitable to deal with the aftermath of the crisis.

Coronavirus International Financial Institutions

EconoGraphics

May 8, 2020

US States’ Covid-19 Response – Short-Term Pain = Long-Term Gain?

By Ole Moehr | Graphics by Nikolai Albishausen and William Bonney

This edition of the EconoGraphic compares Covid-19’s impact with previous economic shocks, presents data on how public health restrictions influenced economic recoveries during the Spanish Flu, and contrasts US states’ reopening decisions with unemployment trends across the country.

Economy & Business Macroeconomics

Experts