Nuclear Deterrence

The specter of Russian tactical nuclear de-escalation strikes, more sophisticated Chinese ballistic-missile submarines, and intercontinental North Korean capabilities all raise the stakes for nuclear deterrence. US policy makers must decide which nuclear posture will allow the United States to credibly deter nuclear war while assuring its allies and partners across the globe.

Content

UkraineAlert

Nov 23, 2022

Lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis: Putin is no Khrushchev

By Harlan Ullman

The 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis may offer some useful insights as Western leaders seek the right response to Russian President Vladimir Putin's recent nuclear saber-rattling over Ukraine, writes Harlan Ullman.

Conflict Disinformation

In the News

Nov 23, 2022

Garlauskas Quoted in Breaking Defense

On November 22, IPSI Nonresident Senior Fellow Markus Garlauskas was quoted in a Breaking Defense article on North Korea’s recent ICBM launch. In response to North Korea’s surge in missile shots and its deployment of 180 military aircraft in a single day, Garlauskas commented, “These recent activities fit into a longstanding pattern of provocative military […]

East Asia Indo-Pacific

In the News

Nov 17, 2022

Garlauskas Interviewed on “Intelligence Matters”

On November 16, IPSI Nonresident Senior Fellow Markus Garlauskas appeared on an episode of “Intelligence Matters” on CBS News. Host Michael Morell, former acting director of the CIA, interviewed Garlauskas on the threat posed by North Korea’s nuclear weapons. Garlauskas spoke on North Korea’s potential use of weapons for operational missions, discussed the declared US […]

East Asia Indo-Pacific

In the News

Nov 10, 2022

Wieslander speaks to Sveriges Radio “Russia Correspondents” podcast

“Tough rhetoric and warnings from Putin have not been matched” by the movement of tactical nuclear weapons, Anna Wieslander said, giving her analysis of Russian nuclear threats.

NATO Northern Europe

Issue Brief

Nov 5, 2022

Strengthening deterrence with SLCM-N

By John R. Harvey and Robert Soofer

John Harvey and Robert Soofer argue that the Sea-Launched Cruise Missile is necessary to deter Russia and China

China Defense Policy

Transcript

Nov 3, 2022

What’s the future of US nuclear strategy? Top officials dissect the Biden administration’s plans.

Current and former Department of Defense, State, and Energy officials outline the top takeaways from the new NPR at the Atlantic Council.

China Nuclear Deterrence

New Atlanticist

Nov 3, 2022

Inside the US Nuclear Posture Review’s approach to a new era of three-power nuclear competition

By Katherine Golden

The Atlantic Council hosted current and former Department of Defense, State, and Energy officials to outline the top takeaways from the strategy.

China Nuclear Deterrence

In the News

Oct 28, 2022

Zysk in High North News: Russia’s nuclear drills and escalatory risks (in Norwegian)

On October 28, TSI NRSF Katarzyna Zysk was quoted in High North News discussing the implications of Russia’s latest nuclear drills on possible escalatory risks.

Europe & Eurasia Northern Europe
Civilians evacuated from the Russian-controlled city of Kherson walk from a ferry to board a bus heading to Crimea, in the Russian-controlled town of Oleshky, Ukraine, October 23, 2022. (Source: REUTERS/Alexander Ermochenko)

New Atlanticist

Oct 28, 2022

Russian War Report: Heavy fighting expected in Kherson as Prigozhin aims to boost Wagner operations

By Digital Forensic Research Lab

As Russian forces move ammunition and equipment toward Kherson, heavy fighting is expected in the city as Ukrainian forces fight to liberate the region.

Belarus Conflict

New Atlanticist

Oct 28, 2022

Putin’s next escalation is coming. How should the West respond?

By Hans Binnendijk, Alexander Vershbow, and Julian Lindley-French

Policymakers must strike a balance to deter and, if necessary, respond to escalation in ways that impose heavy costs for Russian misbehavior but do not further escalate the conflict.

Conflict Europe & Eurasia

Experts