Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Explore the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s latest insights, commentary, articles, media hits, and in-depth reports

All commentary & analysis

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Pavel interviewed by TRT World on the role of China and Russia in the existing world order

By Barry Pavel

On February 4, director of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Barry Pavel discussed how the actions of China and Russia may alter the existing world order on the Turkish international news channel TRT World. Pavel commented on Xi’s increasing confidence overseas and Russia’s aggression in Eastern Europe.

International Norms

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Marks in Yahoo! News on the Russia-Ukraine Crisis

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft center nonresident senior fellow Ronald Marks considers why Putin would want to invade Ukraine.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 17, 2022

Preble in Reason: Public Confidence in the military Is slipping

By Atlantic Council

On February 17, Preble was quoted in Reason regarding declining public trust in the military. “‘Trust in everything is down, and the obvious answer is that post-9/11 wars have not gone well,’ the Atlantic Council’s Christopher Preble tells Reason. Preble also feels that the question’s oversimplification doesn’t fully capture the issue. He wonders whether the recent decline […]

Afghanistan Defense Policy

In the News

Feb 16, 2022

Kroenig and Ashford debate if there is a diplomatic offramp in Ukraine

On February 10, Foreign Policy published a biweekly column featuring Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig and New American Engagement Initiative senior fellow Emma Ashford assessing the latest news in international affairs. In their latest column, they discuss NATO allies’ varied responses to the Russia-Ukraine crisis, and debate if a peaceful resolution is possible.

Conflict Defense Policy

New Atlanticist

Feb 16, 2022

Evacuating noncombatants from Ukraine will be a mess. The West needs to ditch the blame game this time.

By Thomas S. Warrick

In a further invasion of Ukraine, Putin would be to blame for any chaos that follows.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 16, 2022

Kroenig in the Atlantic on China’s nuclear capability

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig acknowledges China's growing nuclear capability in the Atlantic.

Arms Control China

New Atlanticist

Feb 16, 2022

Russia Crisis Military Assessment: Ukraine invasion could happen with less than 12 hours’ notice

By Atlantic Council military fellows

Russia has essentially completed preparations for a large-scale offensive operation and could likely execute a further invasion quickly, according to our military experts

Belarus Conflict

In the News

Feb 16, 2022

Wetzel in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on the Russia-Ukraine crisis

By Atlantic Council

Senior US Air Force fellow Lt Col Tyson Wetzel describes the potential for a Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 15, 2022

Kramer in The Hill discussing cybersecurity vulnerabilities

By Franklin D. Kramer

On February 15, Atlantic Council Board Director and Distinguished Fellow Franklin D. Kramer authored an article for The Hill arguing that incentivizing the establishment of an industry of private sector integrated service providers through the use of cybersecurity investment tax credits would bolster resilience in the cyberspace.

Cybersecurity Europe & Eurasia

GeoTech Cues

Feb 15, 2022

At the nexus of technology and security: Biometrics at the border

By Seth Stodder, Thomas S. Warrick

In November 2020, Customs and Border Protection (CBP) published a proposed rule to expand biometric processing to all non-US citizens and remove port limitations on the use of biometrics in the exit environment. The proposal has drawn a flurry of comments, both positive and negative with multiple privacy and immigrant-advocacy organizations raising objections to the continuation of CBP’s use of facial biometrics.

Americas Security & Defense

In the News

Feb 15, 2022

Polymeropoulos in the New York Times on the role of US intelligence agencies

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Marc Polymeropoulos considers the role and limits of US intelligence agencies.

Intelligence Russia

In the News

Feb 14, 2022

Manning in Radio Free Asia: The U.S. will have a tentative list of additional sanctions on North Korea [translated from Korean]

By Atlantic Council

On February 14, Manning was cited by Radio Free Asia regarding how the United States is approaching financial sanctions of North Korea and the administration’s cooperation with allies. “Robert Manning, a senior researcher at the Atlantic Council…told Radio Free Asia (RFA) that the State Department is currently working with the Ministry of Finance to understand what additional sanctions […]

Economy & Business Financial Sanctions and Economic Coercion

New Atlanticist

Feb 11, 2022

Russia’s joint exercise with Belarus reveals what a Ukraine invasion would look like

By Tyson Wetzel

Although Union Courage '22 has only just begun, it is clear that Russia is focusing on air superiority, close air support, long-range fires, intelligence collection, and combat sustainment.

Belarus Conflict

In the News

Feb 11, 2022

Konaev in the Christian Science Monitor on pivoting to China

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Margarita Konaev explains how the United States is balancing multiple issues simultaneously.

China Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 11, 2022

Cooper in Inkstick: Planning for a Ukrainian refugee crisis

By Atlantic Council

On February 11, Cooper was published in Inkstick advocating for the creation of a comprehensive Ukrainian refugee strategy. In light of the potential for millions of Ukrainians to become refugees if war breaks out, Cooper argues that the West needs to be ready to assist with humanitarian aid. “Refugee resettlement is a complex process, particularly […]

Crisis Management Eastern Europe

In the News

Feb 10, 2022

Warrick in USA Today on Super Bowl protests

By Atlantic Council

Thomas Warrick comments on a potential anti-vaccine trucker convoy on Super Bowl weekend.

Infrastructure Protection National Security

New Atlanticist

Feb 9, 2022

Russia Crisis Military Assessment: What would a ground offensive against Ukraine look like? Watch the skies.

By Atlantic Council military fellows

Our military experts analyze the greatest defense and security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners.

Belarus Conflict

In the News

Feb 9, 2022

Nurkin in Breaking Defense on failure tolerance in hypersonic development

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Tate Nurkin writes in Breaking Defense on success and risk tolerance in hypersonics.

China Defense Industry

In the News

Feb 9, 2022

Ashford at the Marine Corps University: Rapid wargaming for crises

By Atlantic Council

On February 9, Emma Ashford joined a panel of specialists at the Marine Corps University to discuss prototype wargaming for the Ukraine crisis. “How does wargaming help when the problem is a rapidly unfolding crisis in a fluid environment, such as the Russian build-up near Ukraine, when an off-the-shelf option, or deliberately designed wargame, isn’t […]

Eastern Europe English

In the News

Feb 9, 2022

Ashford in the New York Times: A once firm antiwar alliance splinters over Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On February 9, Emma Ashford was quoted in the New York Times on the domestic politics of the Russia-Ukraine crisis. “‘This is definitely not a left-right thing,’ said Emma Ashford, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council and co-author of an article expressing opposition to American support of Ukraine, arguing that the United States is stretched too […]

Crisis Management Eastern Europe

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