Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Explore the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s latest insights, commentary, articles, media hits, and in-depth reports

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U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Charlotte, North Carolina, U.S., March 2, 2020

Shaping the Post-COVID World Together

Jul 7, 2020

East Asian allies dismayed by America first approach

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

Absent a vibrant American commitment to helping its traditional East Asian allies restart their economy in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, China could step in, gaining influence in East Asia at the US's expense.

Coronavirus East Asia
EU flag flying under a cloud sky in Germany

Shaping the Post-COVID World Together

Jul 7, 2020

Another test for Europe

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

The third pan-European crisis in a decade could further weaken EU solidarity, further widening gaps between Northern Europe and the Mediterranean South. Europe is unlikely to retain a multilateralist framework without US assistance and acquiescence from China.

Coronavirus Europe & Eurasia
A worker works at a textile factory in Qingzhou city, east China's Shandong province, 18 March 2020.

Shaping the Post-COVID World Together

Jul 7, 2020

A step change in Sino-American relations

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

Bipartisan agreement that China is to blame for the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with frustration that China is pulling out of the crisis before the US, could strengthen China's authoritarian tendencies while pushing the US toward isolationism.

China Coronavirus
Empty shelves in a grocery store

Shaping the Post-COVID World Together

Jul 7, 2020

Prospects for the COVID-19 pandemic

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

The COVID-19 pandemic is not just a global health crisis. It could spark global recession, while undermining globalism, cooperation and multilateralism, ushering in a renewed era of authoritarianism, isolation and open conflict between global powers.

Coronavirus Economy & Business

Shaping the Post-COVID World Together

Jul 7, 2020

What world post-COVID-19? Three scenarios

By Mathew Burrows, Peter Engelke

A preliminary look at the geopolitical implications of the pandemic and possible directions for the global system after the still-unfolding crisis.

Coronavirus G20

Issue briefs and reports

Jul 7, 2020

A global strategy for shaping the post-COVID-19 world

By Jeffrey Cimmino, Rebecca Katz, Matthew Kroenig, Josh Lipsky, Barry Pavel

The COVID-19 pandemic is an acute public health and economic crisis that is further destabilizing an already weakened rules-based international system. With cooperation, determination, and resolve, however, the United States and its allies can recover from the crisis and revitalize an adapted rules-based system to bring about decades of future freedom, peace, and prosperity.

China Coronavirus

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Trade and financial fragmentation: New challenges to global stability

By Robert A. Manning

There is greater uncertainty today about the future of global trade than at any time since the post-World War II trading system was created seven decades ago. This was true before the COVID-19 pandemic froze much of the world economy; the health crisis has added a new layer of uncertainty. We are at a historic inflection point: the global trade regime urgently needs renovation and updating to meet new challenges, yet it is fraying and fragmenting.

China Digital Policy

In the News

Jul 7, 2020

Robert Manning quoted in VOA Korea on the prospect of a peace declaration ending the Korean War

By Atlantic Council

Conflict Korea

GeoTech Cues

Jul 3, 2020

Research and development still key to competitiveness: But for whom?

By Robert A. Manning, David Bray

The decade ahead must be spurred on by a new “Sputnik moment” for the United States to inspire new focus on research and development funding and initiatives to bolster the STEM workforce, while understanding the changing market dynamics connecting funding, innovation, and competitive advantage for open societies.

China Economy & Business

In the News

Jul 2, 2020

Robert Manning interviewed on VOA Russia on US-China relations

By Atlantic Council

China Politics & Diplomacy

New Atlanticist

Jul 2, 2020

What Poland wants when it comes to US troops

By Teri Schultz

It's not a place the Polish government wants to be: caught between its crucial transatlantic ally the United States and its neighbor, Europe's most powerful country, Germany.

Defense Policy Germany

Smart Partnerships Series

Jul 1, 2020

Can AI and emerging tech boost African development?

By Julian Mueller-Kaler

The final roundtable of the Smart Partnerships Series focused on the African continent and how AI as well as other emerging technologies can be harnessed there for good.

Africa Americas

Strategic Insights Memo

Jun 29, 2020

Navigating the growing Russia-China strategic alignment

By Stephen J. Hadley, Paula J. Dobriansky

On May 13, 2020, the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security hosted a strategy consortium with a small group of experts and officials to discuss the evolution of the Russia-China relationship and how the United States and its allies should navigate it. This paper summarizes many of the points made during this meeting. Background: The […]

China Politics & Diplomacy

In the News

Jun 29, 2020

Busch in The Hill: Withdrawing from the WTO would punish the US, not China

By Marc L. Busch

Marc Busch writes that US “unilateralism” against China is giving rise to a very different approach to trade policy more harmful to US commerce than supportive of foreign policy objectives.

China Economy & Business

In the News

Jun 28, 2020

Kroenig quoted in The Washington Times on restarting nuclear testing

By Matthew Kroenig

More about our expert

Arms Control China

New Atlanticist

Jun 26, 2020

Germany may not like the American messenger. But it should heed his message.

By Jeffrey Lightfoot

The US president and the German government have given up on one another and withdrawn to their own camps, ignoring the growing structural issues in their bilateral ties that promise to linger no matter who wins the US presidential elections this fall.

Defense Policy Germany

New Atlanticist

Jun 25, 2020

What’s at stake in Trump’s plans to withdraw troops from Germany

By Katherine Golden

On June 15, US President Donald J. Trump confirmed press reports that he is planning to pull 9,500 US troops out of Germany, leaving 25,000 in the country. Here’s how the Atlantic Council’s experts are assessing the decision and its significance.

Defense Policy Germany

In the News

Jun 24, 2020

Oh in National Interest: Why China is still needed to achieve any peace treaty with North Korea

By Atlantic Council

On June 24, National Interest published an op-ed by Dr. Miyeon Oh, Director and Senior Fellow of the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s Asia Security Initiative. On the 70th anniversary of the Korean War, Dr. Oh argues that China has an essential role to play in tackling North Korean problems.

China East Asia

In the News

Jun 23, 2020

Miller interview on US-China trade deal with The Final Round

By Atlantic Council

On June 23, Leland Miller, nonresident senior fellow at the Asia Security Initiative and CEO of China Beige Book joined The Final Round to discuss the US-China trade deal and what it means for the current administration going into election season. Miller said that goals set by the trade deal, especially the phase 1B deal, […]

China Economy & Business

In the News

Jun 21, 2020

Busch in The Hill: Lighthizer’s tariff ‘reset’ would dramatically change the politics of US trade remedies

By Marc L. Busch

Related content from the author

Economy & Business Trade and tariffs
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