Forward-looking…

Strategy requires foresight. Leveraging the Scowcroft Center’s cutting-edge strategic foresight practice, Forward Defense helps identify the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

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Nontraditional threats

Modeling the geopolitical future

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Experts and futurists

More on defense foresight & technology

Image for Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

Report

Nov 30, 2023

Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

By Matthew Kroenig

Matthew Kroenig argues the US and the PRC would have incentives to use nuclear weapons in a Taiwan war. The US must deter PRC nuclear use.

Arms Control China

UkraineAlert

Nov 25, 2023

Expert panel: How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine develop in 2024?

By Benton Coblentz

How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine develop during 2024? The Atlantic Council hosted a panel of experts to explore the key issues that will likely shape Russia’s war in Ukraine during the coming year.

Conflict Defense Industry

UkraineAlert

Nov 21, 2023

Arming Ukraine is the cheapest way to stop Putin’s resurgent Russia

By Ivan Verstyuk

Arming Ukraine may be expensive, but it is by far the cheapest way to stop Vladimir Putin’s resurgent Russia, writes Ivan Verstyuk.

Conflict Defense Industry

In the News

Nov 20, 2023

Article by Garlauskas, Webster, and Verges cited widely in Congressional report

A New Atlanticist article on the PRC’s non-lethal aid to Russia by IPSI’s Markus Garlauskas and Emma Verges and GEC’s Joseph Webster was cited ten times in the 2023 Report to Congress of the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission. 

China Conflict

New Atlanticist

Nov 15, 2023

AUKUS is hamstrung by outdated US export control rules. Here’s what Congress can do.

By Deborah Cheverton, John T. Watts

US lawmakers must show that they are willing to make the necessary changes to a needlessly limiting export control regime that does more harm than good.

Arms Control Australia
Forward Defense

Forward Defense, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, generates ideas and connects stakeholders in the defense ecosystem to promote an enduring military advantage for the United States, its allies, and partners. Our work identifies the defense strategies, capabilities, and resources the United States needs to deter and, if necessary, prevail in future conflict.