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Inflection Points

Nov 10, 2019

Hopes and gains from Berlin Wall’s fall at risk

By Frederick Kempe

If US and European leaders don’t recover the common purpose they shared at that time – and there is yet little sign they will – this weekend’s Berlin Wall anniversary is more a moment for concern than celebration.

China
Europe & Eurasia
AlertaVenezuela email banner

#AlertaVenezuela

Nov 5, 2019

#AlertaVenezuela: November 5, 2019

By Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Nicolás Maduro has been accused of being an instigator behind social unrest in Latin American countries, including in Chile and Ecuador. Twitter accounts operating from Venezuela have a history of attempting to influence domestic events in Catalonia and in the United States. The DFRLab analyzed 1.1 million tweets about protests in Chile, posted between October 16 and October 25, 2019, to measure the possibility of involvement of the Maduro regime’s digital militias in the country.

Disinformation
Venezuela

Inflection Points

Nov 5, 2019

Tougher test than Cold War

By Frederick Kempe

As the 30th anniversary of the Berlin Wall’s fall approaches, does the US have a consistent strategy and a unified alliance needed to address today's challenges?

China
Europe & Eurasia
Saudi Aramco oil facility

EnergySource

Nov 5, 2019

Two frameworks for understanding the Aramco IPO

By Randolph Bell

The recent announcement that the partial initial public offering (IPO) of Saudi Aramco is finally moving forward is either a cause for celebration or consternation, depending on your perspective. The divergence in views comes from the way in which market players and analysts understand the IPO and the role of Aramco in the Saudi economy.

Energy Markets & Governance
Oil and Gas

EnergySource

Oct 31, 2019

Amb. Richard L. Morningstar’s address to the 2019 Gas Asia Summit

By Richard L. Morningstar

If the story of the last decade in natural gas has been a production boom, the story of the next decade will be how that production can support Asia’s demand boom. The opportunities are immense—the challenges are as well.

Energy Transitions
Geopolitics & Energy Security

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Oct 30, 2019

Present at the re-creation: A global strategy for revitalizing, adapting, and defending a rules-based international system

By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig

We need a new strategy—one that is both ambitious and innovative, geared towards meeting the challenges and opportunities that the new decade brings.

China
NATO

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Oct 30, 2019

Global risks 2035 update: Decline or new renaissance?

By Mathew Burrows

Our conclusion in 2016’s Global Risks 2035 was that state-on-state conflict posed a bigger threat than terrorism. In the two years since, the post-Cold War order has continued to unravel without a “new normal” emerging.

China
NATO
AlertaVenezuela email banner

#AlertaVenezuela

Oct 29, 2019

#AlertaVenezuela: October 29, 2019

By Atlantic Council's DFRLab

On October 24, 2019, the U.S. Department of the Treasury issued an order giving Juan Guaidó’s team three months to "restructure or refinance payments" by suspending the terms of some financial sanctions, which – if implemented – would have foreclosed on Venezuelan-owned Citgo’s oil refineries in Texas and which were originally meant to pressure Nicolás Maduro from office. The move was intended to shield Guaidó, who is recognized as interim President of Venezuela by more than 50 countries as of June 2019, from losing control of Citgo.

Disinformation
Venezuela

MENASource

Oct 29, 2019

NATO countries should help Egypt mitigate security challenge near Libyan border

By Amal Kandeel

Egypt is facing multiple security challenges for which a military solution is deficient. A complex interplay between internal and external challenges, as well as human and security challenges, is evident in western Egypt and within the area bordering Libya. The mix of harsh climatic conditions, inhospitable terrain, and lagging economic development, on one hand, and […]

Libya
Middle East

Conflict, Risk, and Tech

Oct 28, 2019

The zero-day war? How cyber is reshaping the future of the most combustible conflicts

By Simon Handler

Conventional wisdom would suggest that scaled-up capabilities, growing competition, and the proliferation of malware across cyberspace presents a legitimate risk of escalation in state conflict, transcending the cyber domain toward the kinetic. However, recent history has shown that states have more often availed themselves of their offensive cyber arsenals to achieve surprisingly de-escalatory effects.

Cybersecurity
Iran

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