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Dec 21, 2018

Economic Outlook for 2019

By Global Business & Economics Program

December 2018 is set to become the worst year-end finish for US markets since 1931. A yield curve inversion combined with the fourth annual rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and growing geo-political uncertainty, triggered widespread angst among US investors about an economic slowdown and the increasing probability of a recession. This edition of the EconoGraphic assesses key economic indicators to make a case that while a slowing of the US economy seems certain, a recession in the next two years remains unlikely.

China Economy & Business

UkraineAlert

Dec 21, 2018

Why No One Is Right about Ukraine’s Anti-Corruption Reforms

By John Lough and Vladimir Dubrovskiy

The experience of the past four years shows that in Ukraine, it is far easier and more effective to shrink the space for corrupt practices than to deter corruption by punishing guilty individuals. To this extent, Ukraine’s anti-corruption reforms have been working.

Ukraine

New Atlanticist

Dec 21, 2018

Brexit will be detrimental for US ties with the UK and the EU

By Stuart E. Eizenstat

Brexit will be a blow to US-UK economic relations, to US companies doing business in the UK, and to the economy of the UK, the United States’ closest ally.

European Union Macroeconomics

In the News

Dec 20, 2018

O’Toole quoted in Newsweek on Trump Administration lifting sanctions on Putin-linked oligarch companies

By Brian O'Toole

Read the full article here.

Russia

In the News

Dec 20, 2018

John Herbst joins CNBC to discuss US-Russia Relations

By John Herbst

Watch the full discussion here.

Russia

UkraineAlert

Dec 20, 2018

Why 2019 Will Be Year of Continued Growth for Business in Ukraine

By Andy Hunder

Ukraine is back on the front pages of the world’s top newspapers. Twice in the past three weeks Ukraine featured on the cover photo of the Financial Times. The headlines read: “US Backs Kyiv in Naval Clash with Kremlin” and “Kyiv Splits from Russian Church.” The news headings highlight the U-turn that Ukrainians have made shifting away […]

Russia Ukraine

Trade in Action

Dec 20, 2018

TRADE IN ACTION December 20, 2018

By Global Business & Economics Program

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia

New Atlanticist

Dec 20, 2018

#StrongerWithAllies: Lithuanian sharpshooter has security in his sights

By Lukas Andriukaitis

The National Guard, an integral part of Lithuania’s armed forces, defends Lithuania’s borders and undertakes operations for which the country’s regular forces are not nimble enough.

NATO Northern Europe

New Atlanticist

Dec 20, 2018

Top 10 risks of 2019

By Robert A. Manning and Mathew J. Burrows

Unfortunately, 2018 will not go down as a very memorable year in turning the page on the big issues of our time.  Trump is right to claim credit for starting a dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jung-un, but even that faces tests—as we outline—in the coming year. 

Conflict European Union

New Atlanticist

Dec 19, 2018

The RUSAL deal: a good outcome?

By Brian O'Toole

Sanctions targeting RUSAL’s founder and now indirect minority shareholder, Oleg Deripaska, worked exactly the way they are supposed to.

Economic Sanctions International Markets

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