Report

May 5, 2014

Libya’s Faustian bargains: Breaking the appeasement cycle

By Karim Mezran, Jason Pack, and Mohamed Eljarh

A new Atlantic Council report examines the threats to Libya’s stability, provides a detailed mapping of the militia landscape, and details policy options for the Libyan government and its international partners. In Libya’s Faustian Bargains: Breaking the Appeasement Cycle, the authors attribute the cycle of violence, intractable political stalemate, and weakened economy to the Libyan […]

Conflict Democratic Transitions

External

May 2, 2014

IntelBrief: The Eastleigh Crackdown & the Troubled Kenya-Somalia Relationship

By Joshua Meservey

Bottom Line Up Front The Somali and Kenyan governments are at war with the Somalia-based terror group al-Shabab, but disagreements over the Kenyan Defense Forces’ actions in Somalia’s Kismayo region have strained the bilateral relationship. In April, Kenya launched a nation-wide security crackdown that targeted its domestic Somali population. Some four thousand were detained, including […]

East Africa Somalia

Issue Brief

Apr 28, 2014

The Impact of US Liquefied Natural Gas Exports on Central and Eastern Europe’s Energy Security

By Péter Kaderják, László Paizs, Adrienn Selei, Borbála Tóth

The unfolding political crisis between Ukraine and Russia poses an immediate gas supply security risk for Europe, but especially for Central Eastern Europe (CEE), the Baltic States, and South East Europe (SEE). This new issue brief, authored by Péter Kaderják, László Paizs, Adrienn Selei, and Borbála Tóth of the Regional Centre for Energy Policy Research […]

Energy & Environment Energy Markets & Governance

Global Aggregation of Cyber Risk

Apr 28, 2014

Beyond Data Breaches: Industry Risk Reports

By Cyber Statecraft Initiative

As the Internet increasingly connects with real life and permeates all facets of society, it can be a source of global shocks for which risk managers, corporate executives, board directors, and government officials might not be prepared.

Cybersecurity Security & Defense
Gandhi and Jinnah

Report

Apr 24, 2014

India and Pakistan: The opportunity cost of conflict

By Shuja Nawaz and Mohan Guruswamy

A report released today by the Atlantic Council’s South Asia Center argues that heavy military spending in India and Pakistan has in fact been detrimental to the citizens of both countries in terms of security and economic growth, and calls on leaders to reinvest in trade and confidence building. In India and Pakistan: The Opportunity […]

Defense Policy India

Issue Brief

Apr 22, 2014

Turkish-Iranian Rapprochement and the Future of European and Asian Energy

By Pinar Dost and Orhan Taner

In a new issue brief, “Turkish-Iranian Rapprochement and the Future of European and Asian Energy,” Pinar Dost-Niyego and Orhan Taner of the Atlantic Council’s Turkey office outline how Turkey and Iran’s developing relationship is a key consideration in analyses of European and Asian energy security. They argue Turkish-Iranian relations, in which energy plays an important […]

Europe & Eurasia Iran

Issue Brief

Apr 17, 2014

NATO’s Framework Nations: Capabilities for an Unpredictable World

By Franklin D. Kramer

At the upcoming summit in September 2014, the NATO nations are very likely to approve a concept of “framework nations” around which to build integrated capabilities. As yet, however, there has been relatively little discussion about how best to organize the framework nation approach so as to support NATO objectives. In the latest issue brief […]

Global Aggregation of Cyber Risk

Apr 16, 2014

Beyond Data Breaches: Global Interconnections of Cyber Risk

By Jason Healey

The Atlantic Council and Zurich Insurance Group (Zurich) have released a pioneering report, Beyond Data Breaches: Global Interconnections of Cyber Risk, to better prepare governments and businesses for the cyber shocks of the future. Through a combination of stable technology, dedicated technicians and, resistance to random outages, the Internet has been resilient to attacks on a […]

Cybersecurity Security & Defense

External

Apr 2, 2014

J. Peter Pham on Threats and Opportunities in the Sahel

By J. Peter Pham

Atlantic Council Africa Center Director J. Peter Pham authored a review essay on threats and opportunities in the Sahel for the forthcoming issue of the Journal of the Middle East and Africa.

Africa

Issue Brief

Mar 25, 2014

Europe’s Imperfect Banking Union

By Megan Greene

In her latest issue brief, “Europe’s Imperfect Banking Union,” Global Business and Economics Program Senior Fellow Megan Greene argues that the European banking union agreement as it currently stands will fall short of many of its goals and will only be useful in the next crisis, not in definitively ending the current one. A slew […]

Economy & Business European Union

Report

Mar 24, 2014

TTIP: On Track but Off Message?

By Global Business & Economics Program

Stakeholders remain optimistic that a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) deal can be reached, but they believe a less comprehensive agreement will result from more protracted talks, according to an Atlantic Council-Bertelsmann Foundation survey released today on the eve of the US-EU summit. The survey, a follow-up to a similar 2013 poll, gauges the attitudes of more than […]

Economy & Business European Union

External

Mar 18, 2014

Pham on Islamism in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Morocco

By J. Peter Pham

Atlantic Council Africa Center Director J. Peter Pham is the author of the reports on Islamism in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Morocco in the American Foreign Policy Council’s World Almanac of Islamism 2014, just published by Rowman & Littlefield.

Ethiopia Morocco

Issue Brief

Mar 13, 2014

The Kurdish Question and US-Turkish Relations in a Changing Middle East

By Jeffrey Mankoff and Müjge Küçükkeleş

Growing disorder throughout the Middle East has created the possibility for major changes to the status of Kurdish minorities in Iraq, Syria, and Turkey. Turkey’s handling of its own Kurdish minority and its relations with Kurdish groups throughout the region are creating new challenges for US foreign policy and US-Turkish relations. The failure of Ankara’s […]

Turkey

Issue Brief

Mar 7, 2014

Breaking taboos: Youth activism in the Gulf States

By Kristin Diwan

In a new Atlantic Council issue brief, Breaking Taboos: Youth Activism in the Gulf States, Visiting Senior Fellow Kristin Diwan contends that youth activists are bringing new forms of civic engagement and political contestation to the Arab states in the Gulf region.  Evaluating  youth movements in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain, Diwan contends that although […]

Saudi Arabia The Gulf

Report

Mar 7, 2014

TTIP Yields Significant Export Gains in Key US Industrial Sectors

By Atlantic Council

Largest export growth to be seen in motor vehicles, metals and processed foods A comprehensive Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the United States and the European Union would significantly boost exports from fourteen key US industrial sectors, according to a new study conducted by the Atlantic Council, the Bertelsmann Foundation, and the British […]

Economy & Business Trade and tariffs

Issue Brief

Mar 5, 2014

Zooming in on Syria: Adapting US policy to local realities

By Faysal Itani & Nathaniel Rosenblatt

The key to ending the crisis in Syria is a better understanding of local players and power dynamics. By viewing the conflict through a local prism, the United States and its Western allies can help build a coherent, capable, and legitimate opposition, which is an essential ingredient for any political transition or even negotiations. In […]

Syria

Issue Brief

Feb 27, 2014

Completing Europe: Georgia’s Path to NATO

By Damon Wilson

At his first public address in Washington at the Atlantic Council this week, Georgia’s new prime minister, Irakli Garibashvili, unequivocally committed Georgia to a Euro-Atlantic future that would include NATO and European Union membership. Garibashvili argued that Georgia’s democratic credentials, efforts to normalize its relations with Russia in spite of the latter’s provocations, and contribution […]

The Caucasus

External

Feb 26, 2014

IntelBrief: Chad’s Ambiguous Role in African Security

By Sam Fishman

Bottom Line Up Front President Idriss Déby Itno has deployed Chadian armed forces into the violent political maelstroms unfolding in Mali and the Central African Republic (CAR), earning gratitude from Western donor powers and possibly transforming Chad—long considered a diplomatic backwater—into a regional powerbroker But Déby’s intervention in CAR has been controversial. International NGOs and […]

Africa

Issue Brief

Feb 13, 2014

The economic consequences of the Arab Spring

By Mohsin Khan

In a new issue brief, Rafik Hariri Center Senior Fellow Mohsin Khan contends that although political turmoil has dominated economic decision-making in the Arab transition countries and Jordan and Morocco during the last three years, there is some encouraging evidence that these economies will turn around in 2014. Analyzing economic developments in the Arab transition […]

Libya Morocco

Report

Feb 12, 2014

The state of Arab transitions: Hope resilient despite many unmet demands

By Mirette F. Mabrouk and Stefanie A. Hausheer

Report authors Mirette F. Mabrouk, deputy director for regional programs, and Stefanie A. Hausheer, assistant director, examine the progress in achieving the original demands of protestors and contend that local actors would embrace greater international support to help facilitate genuine transitions. By examining six key themes—political polarization, constitution-drafting processes, transitional justice, economic progress, civil society […]

Civil Society Democratic Transitions