Nuclear Deterrence

The specter of Russian tactical nuclear de-escalation strikes, more sophisticated Chinese ballistic-missile submarines, and intercontinental North Korean capabilities all raise the stakes for nuclear deterrence. US policy makers must decide which nuclear posture will allow the United States to credibly deter nuclear war while assuring its allies and partners across the globe.

Content

Issue Brief

Feb 4, 2021

Toward trilateral arms control: Options for bringing China into the fold

By Matthew Kroenig, Mark J. Massa

The Cold War-era paradigm of bilateral arms control between the United States and Russia is becoming increasingly untenable. Including a rising China with a growing nuclear arsenal is essential. This issue brief shows the way forward with options for bringing China into the nuclear arms control fold on a trilateral basis with the United States and Russia.

Arms Control China

In the News

Jan 28, 2021

Kroenig, Massa write op-ed in The Hill on Sec. Austin and nuclear modernization

By Atlantic Council

On January 28, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Deputy Director Matthew Kroenig and Forward Defense Assistant Director Mark J. Massa wrote an op-ed on nuclear modernization for The Hill. In this article, Kroenig and Massa urge recently confirmed Department of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to commit to continuing the bipartisan nuclear modernization program, including the Ground-Based Strategic Deterrent (GBSD).

Defense Industry Defense Technologies

In the News

Jan 21, 2021

Kroenig quoted in Vox on Biden’s commitment to extend New START for five years

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig was quoted in a Vox article on President Biden's decision to extend New START for five years.

Arms Control Nuclear Deterrence

In the News

Jan 20, 2021

Garlauskas quoted in NK News on new approach toward North Korean nuclear missiles

On January 20, 2021, Markus Garlauskas, the former US National Intelligence Officer for North Korea and nonresident senior fellow with the Asia Security Initiative, was quoted in NK News for his comments on how the incoming Biden administration should deal with North Korea’s nuclear weapons. He argued that the focus should be to prevent further […]

Arms Control East Asia

NATO 20/2020

Jan 19, 2021

Threaten decisive nuclear retaliation: NATO 20/2020 podcast

By David Gompert and Hans Binnendijk

NATO should thwart Russian use of nuclear weapons by threatening certain retaliation.

Arms Control Defense Policy

Fast Thinking

Jan 13, 2021

FAST THINKING: What we’re watching in North Korea

By Atlantic Council

As Americans were preoccupied with violence at the US Capitol, officials in Pyongyang articulated their national-security strategy.

East Asia Korea

Fast Thinking

Jan 4, 2021

FAST THINKING: What’s Iran thinking?

By Atlantic Council

Tehran seized a South Korean tanker while also announcing that it had begun increasing its uranium enrichment levels to 20 percent. Why?

Iran Korea

In the News

Dec 30, 2020

Garlauskas on what to expect from Pyongyang during the Biden administration

By Atlantic Council

On December 30, 2020, The National Interest published an article by Asia Security Initiative non-resident senior fellow Markus Garlauskas entitled “Expect Missile Testing and Probing From North Korea, Not a Cry For Attention or Help.” The article recounts possible actions from North Korea as the United States goes through its presidential transition, stating that “North […]

Crisis Management English

Fast Thinking

Dec 2, 2020

FAST THINKING: Iran sends a message

By Atlantic Council

Now we know how Iran will respond to the assassination of its top nuclear scientist: with an ultimatum to the Biden administration. Tehran enacted a law today to immediately ramp up uranium enrichment—and to expel international nuclear inspectors if US sanctions aren’t lifted by early February, right after Joe Biden takes office. What does the move mean?

Elections Iran

In the News

Dec 1, 2020

Kroenig featured in Providence event on a nuclear-free world

By Atlantic Council

On December 1, Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig was featured in a panel for Providence titled “A World Free from Nuclear Weapons? A Happy Hour Discussion.”

Arms Control China

Experts