Shaping the post-COVID-19 world together

Thu, Apr 23, 2020

What world post-COVID-19? Three scenarios

This paper is a preliminary look at the geopolitical implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and sketches three scenarios for the possible direction of the global system post-COVID-19.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Mathew J. Burrows, Peter Engelke

Coronavirus G20
Learn more
about the series:

Shaping the post-COVID-19 world together
Scenario 1:
Great accelerator downwards
Scenario 2:
China first
Scenario 3:
New Renaissance

Featured commentary and analysis

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

Content

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Executive summary: The virus and global order

The COVID-19 pandemic is having dramatic effects on everyday life, but its geopolitical implications could prove to be even more profound. The pandemic is exacerbating and unleashing pressure points in the global order, including intensified US-China competition, that could fundamentally reshape geopolitics.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Taking stock: Where are geopolitics headed in the COVID-19 era?

The COVID-19 pandemic has stressed pressure points in the global order and threatens to unravel the rules-based international system. This paper examines the geopolitical implications of the pandemic by identifying key strategic shocks and tensions exacerbated by the virus. It also identifies uncertainties for the global order and provides policy recommendations for how the United States and its allies should address the pandemic.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Fri, May 29, 2020

Trump has escalated his confrontation with China. Here’s what that means.

During a news conference at the White House on May 29, US President Donald J. Trump rebuked China for its response to the coronavirus pandemic and alleged violation of Hong Kong’s sovereignty. The US president argued that China’s behavior has endangered US economic interests and national security.

New Atlanticist by David A. Wemer

China Coronavirus

Fri, May 29, 2020

National Guard’s COVID-19 response combines civilian skillsets with unique military utility

The US National Guard is stepping up their COVID-19 response with food banks, testing sites, nursing homes, and personal protective equipment distribution across the United States. “What makes us particularly effective in relation to the COVID-19 response is the unique, very deep connections with our communities and our homelands,” the Chief of the National Guard Bureau General Joseph L. Lengyel said.

New Atlanticist by Katherine Walla

Coronavirus Defense Industry

Thu, May 28, 2020

Coronavirus should spur DoD to build back resilience and agility

A layered and targeted response is required to meet the proximate challenges to the defense and dual-use supply chain, which is critical to national security. This crisis, as terrible as it is, may be the catalyst for taking steps today that are necessary to build the supply chain resilience and industry agility required to meet future national crises.

New Atlanticist by John F. Wharton and Tate Nurkin

Coronavirus Defense Industry

Wed, May 27, 2020

COVID-19 will not change Italy’s Euro-Atlantic position, defense minister says

"Many countries have shown solidarity toward Italy in an extraordinary situation. We talk to everyone, but the pillars of our security are NATO and the European Union, and these shall remain," Guerini said.

New Atlanticist by Francesco Bechis

Coronavirus Italy

Wed, May 27, 2020

The cybersecurity effects of coronavirus

Since COVID-19 began to spread within the United States in January of this year, the United States has been concentrating its efforts on mitigating the crisis at both a state and federal level. However, all efforts at containing the growing cybersecurity problems have been surface level and reactive at best.

New Atlanticist by Derek Bernsen

Coronavirus Cybersecurity

Sat, May 23, 2020

Mathew Burrows and Bob Manning in The Hill about a global “Manhattan Project” to end pandemics

In the News by Atlantic Council

Coronavirus English

Wed, May 20, 2020

How the coronavirus impacts Japan’s prospects for constitutional revision

Whether or not the Japanese public will face a choice on revising the constitution in the near future now seems inextricably tied with the coronavirus; either it will scuttle efforts to hold a constitutional referendum before the end of Abe’s term or it will be the impetus for an accelerated effort.

New Atlanticist by Mirna Galic

Coronavirus Japan

Sat, May 16, 2020

Anca Agachi in Defense One on the rise of non-traditional security threats

In the News by Atlantic Council

Coronavirus English