Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Apr 22, 2015

Dynamic stability: US strategy for a world in transition

By Barry Pavel, Peter Engelke, and Alex Ward

We have entered a new era in world history, a post-post-Cold War era that holds both great promise and great peril for the United States, its allies, and everyone else. This era calls for a new approach to national strategy called “dynamic stability.”

Politics & Diplomacy Security & Defense

Books

Apr 21, 2015

Is Authoritarianism Staging a Comeback?

By Mathew Burrows and Maria J. Stephen

About the Book:The world is in the throes of a nearly decade-long global democratic recession. Democratic breakdowns in strategically important countries like Russia, Pakistan, Egypt, and Venezuela are cause for serious concern, as are reversals in Turkey and Hungary. Using a combination of repression and noncoercive tools, governments are shutting down space for civil society […]

Issue Brief

Apr 21, 2015

Tunisia’s new constitutional court

By Duncan Pickard

January 2014 became a milestone of Arab democracy when Tunisia adopted the first democratic Arab constitution drafted outside the influence of the military or a foreign power. In “Tunisia’s New Constitutional Court,” Duncan Pickard, a Nonresident Fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, takes up the next step for the […]

Democratic Transitions Human Rights

Arabic

Apr 14, 2015

تمهيد المسار للسلام في سوريا: مقترح لإنشاء قوة وطنية سورية من أجل الاستقرار

إعداد: فريديرك هوف، بسمة قضماني، جيفري وايت انطلاقاً من برنامج الرئيس باراك أوباما للتدريب-والتجهيز لتحويل المتمردين السوريين الوطنيين إلى قوات برية لمقاومة الدولة الإسلامية في العراق والشام، يوصي التقرير بالتطلع إلى ما هو أبعد: تجنيد، وتدريب، وتجهيز، ونشر قوة وطنية سورية من أجل الاستقرار تكون مؤلفة من سوريين فقط. تلك القوة، التي بإمكانها أن تشكل أساساً […]

Middle East Security & Defense

Report

Apr 14, 2015

Setting the stage for peace in Syria: The case for a Syrian National Stabilization Force

By Frederic C. Hof, Bassma Kodmani and Jeffrey White

After four years of conflict in Syria, peace is still a distant prospect. The West insists that there is no “military solution,” while Iran and Russia provide the Assad regime with a military advantage obstructing the possibility of real diplomatic negotiations. With over 220,000 Syrians dead and more than half of the Syrian population displaced, […]

Syria

Regional Security Initiative

Apr 1, 2015

Brainstorming the Gulf: Innovation and the knowledge economy in the GCC

By Peter Engelke

In Brainstorming the Gulf: Innovation and the Knowledge Economy in the GCC, the report’s author, Peter Engelke, Senior Fellow for the Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative in the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, highlights the successes that Gulf states have enjoyed to date and addresses the major hurdles to sustaining and expanding these successes.

Entrepreneurship Middle East

Report

Mar 26, 2015

Managing Differences on European Security in 2015

By Atlantic Council, Russian International Affairs Council and the European Leadership Network

This report is the result of a series of brainstorming sessions that took place between the summer of 2013 and the winter of 2014-2015, and between American, Russian, and European experts. The teams were led by Ellen Tauscher, the Vice Chair of the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security and the former US […]

Europe & Eurasia European Union

Issue Brief

Mar 24, 2015

ISIS war game II: The escalation challenge

By Bilal Y. Saab and Michael Tyson

In September 2014, Bilal Y. Saab, Resident Senior Fellow for Middle East Security at the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft on International Security, and Michael S. Tyson, Marine Corps Senior Fellow at the Scowcroft Center, predicted in a simulation exercise (for results, see “ISIS War Game: The Coming Stalemate“) conducted at the Scowcroft Center’s Middle East […]

Middle East Security & Defense

Regional Security Initiative

Mar 23, 2015

Artful balance: The future of US defense strategy and force posture in the Gulf

By Bilal Y. Saab and Barry Pavel

A strategic review of US defense strategy and force posture in the Gulf is long overdue. In Artful Balance: Future US Defense Strategy and Force Posture in the Gulf, Bilal Y. Saab, Resident Senior Fellow for Middle East Security at the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, and Barry Pavel, Vice President and […]

Maritime Security Middle East

Report

Mar 18, 2015

The Healthcare Internet of Things: Rewards and Risks

By Jason Healey, Neal Pollard, and Beau Woods

The Internet of Things of digital, networked technology is quickly moving to the forefront of society, the global economy, and the human experience. Individuals wear networked devices to learn more about themselves, their diet, their exercise regimen, and their vital signs. Doctors can adjust and optimize implanted medical devices, such as pacemakers, quickly and accurately—and […]

Photo: REUTERS/Zoubeir Souissi

Issue Brief

Mar 12, 2015

Morocco’s gradual political and economic transition

By Mohsin Khan and Karim Mezran

In contrast to popular uprisings throughout the Middle East and North Africa in 2011, Morocco has emerged relatively unscathed, avoiding destabilizing political upheaval or economic impact. The case of Morocco has surprised many observers because its weak and problematic social, political, and economic indicators are much like those of the other transitioning countries. In “Morocco’s […]

Morocco North Africa

Global Aggregation of Cyber Risk

Feb 18, 2015

Breaking the Cyber-Sharing Logjam

By Brent Scowcroft Center

The Internet makes everyone neighbors in cyberspace, connected by a digital infrastructure that serves as the bedrock of their communities. But despite pockets of excellence, the neighborhood-watch system is broken. Not all kinds of sharing are equal, as many organizations involved in cyber defense are net consumers—not suppliers—of shareable cybersecurity information.

Books

Feb 17, 2015

‘Boom time’ for private security contractors

By Ashish Kumar Sen

‘The Modern Mercenary’ author McFate says contractors fill security vacuum left by departing troops One of the biggest fallacies in Washington is that once the United States is done with private security contractors in Afghanistan and elsewhere they will simply pack their bags and head home, says Sean McFate. In fact, these private armies go […]

Defense Industry National Security

Issue Brief

Feb 17, 2015

False dichotomy: Stability versus reform in the Arab world

By Danya Greenfield and Faysal Itani

To cling to current short-sighted policies and to help sustain dysfunctional states in the Middle East for the sake of short-term security would condemn the region to poverty and further instability, which threaten to have negative consequences for US interests. A new Atlantic Council report rejects the notion that the United States must choose between […]

Democratic Transitions Middle East

Report

Feb 2, 2015

Preserving Ukraine’s Independence, Resisting Russian Aggression: What the United States and NATO Must Do

By Atlantic Council, the Brookings Institution, and the Chicago Council on Global Affairs

The Kremlin is waging a hybrid war in Ukraine’s east. Initially covert, Moscow’s intervention became increasingly open when it sent in regular army units in August. Since the Minsk ceasefire, signed in September, Kremlin-supported separatists seized 500 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory. The ceasefire was an illusion. Despite the agreement, Russia continued to send hundreds […]

Europe & Eurasia NATO

Issue Brief

Jan 21, 2015

A transatlantic approach for the Arab world: Stability through inclusivity, good governance, and prosperity

By Fran Burwell, Danya Greenfield, Amy Hawthorne

A new Atlantic Council report warns against the tendency of Europe and the United States to sideline political and economic reform in the Middle East while they pursue urgent security priorities in this turbulent region. Instead, the transatlantic partners should forge a shared strategy to encourage political systems that can protect Arab citizens’ basic rights, […]

European Union International Organizations

Report

Jan 16, 2015

Antimicrobial resistance as an emerging threat to national security

By Maxine Builder

In Antimicrobial Resistance as an Emerging Threat to National Security, Maxine Builder, Research Associate for the Council on Foreign Relations’ Global Health Program, outlines the growing threat posed by this issue, and its potential implications for national security, before positing several potential solutions and policy recommendations.

National Security Security & Defense

Issue Brief

Dec 23, 2014

The case for a new federalism in Libya

By Karim Mezran and Mohamed Eljarh

Following Muammar Qaddafi’s ouster more than three years ago, Libya fragmented, and the absence of a capable central government opened up the space for a violent political struggle over the country’s key resources and state institutions that continues today. Given Libya’s troubled history with centralization, there is a need for a rethink about a post-revolutionary […]

Libya

Issue Brief

Dec 23, 2014

The Die Is Cast: Confronting Russian Aggression in Eastern Europe

By Christopher Musselman

Despite a crumbling economy, Russian President Vladimir Putin remains defiant in increasing Moscow’s influence in eastern Europe. In Ukraine, cease-fire agreements have only prolonged Kyiv’s battle against Russian-backed separatists in its east. Simultaneously, the Kremlin’s subversive economic and political actions in eastern Europe and former Soviet states continue unabated, confirming that Ukraine is unlikely to […]

NATO Russia

Report

Dec 15, 2014

Addressing the food, water, and energy nexus: transatlantic perspectives and Africa’s great chance

By Peter Engelke

Addressing the Food, Water, and Energy Nexus: Transatlantic Perspectives and Africa’s Great Chance, a joint collaboration between the Atlantic Council’s Africa Center and the Strategic Foresight Initiative of the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, examines how Africa can best leverage its food, water, and energy resources for sustainable development.

Africa Energy & Environment