GeoEconomics Center

At the intersection of economics, finance, and foreign policy, the GeoEconomics Center is a translation hub with the goal of helping shape a better global economic future.

Content

New Atlanticist

Mar 18, 2019

The Silk Road and the Gulf: A new frontier for the RMB

By Michael B. Greenwald

Standing at the crossroads of Eurasia, the Arab Gulf states and broader Middle East are an important link between the economies of East Asia and Western Europe.

China
International Markets

Blogs

Dec 21, 2018

Economic Outlook for 2019

By Global Business & Economics Program

December 2018 is set to become the worst year-end finish for US markets since 1931. A yield curve inversion combined with the fourth annual rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and growing geo-political uncertainty, triggered widespread angst among US investors about an economic slowdown and the increasing probability of a recession. This edition of the EconoGraphic assesses key economic indicators to make a case that while a slowing of the US economy seems certain, a recession in the next two years remains unlikely.

China
Economy & Business

New Atlanticist

Dec 21, 2018

From Silicon Valley to Shenzhen: dollar exposures in Chinese fintech

By Michael B. Greenwald

In the post-9/11 era, Washington has waged innovative campaigns against terrorism finance, sanctions evasion, and money laundering. Leveraging the United States’ heavyweight status in the international financial system, the US Treasury has isolated and bankrupted rogue regimes, global terrorists, and their enablers. As financial technology transforms global business, the traditional financial system faces new competition […]

China
Entrepreneurship

New Atlanticist

Dec 20, 2018

Top 10 risks of 2019

By Robert A. Manning and Mathew J. Burrows

Unfortunately, 2018 will not go down as a very memorable year in turning the page on the big issues of our time.  Trump is right to claim credit for starting a dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jung-un, but even that faces tests—as we outline—in the coming year. 

Conflict
European Union

New Atlanticist

Dec 19, 2018

The RUSAL deal: a good outcome?

By Brian O'Toole

Sanctions targeting RUSAL’s founder and now indirect minority shareholder, Oleg Deripaska, worked exactly the way they are supposed to.

Economic Sanctions
International Markets

Inflection Points

Dec 15, 2018

Markets are underestimating the long-term impact of Trump’s fight with China

By Frederick Kempe

It’s easier to imagine a deterioration of Sino-US relations than an improvement as these countries of dramatically different cultural and ideological systems—and increasingly similar ambitions—compete for the high ground.

China
International Markets

New Atlanticist

Dec 14, 2018

Why it will be hard to kill NAFTA if Congress does not approve Trump’s trade deal with Mexico and Canada

By Ashish Kumar Sen

“If the new treaty doesn’t pass, NAFTA will be more resilient and more difficult to kill,” said Jesus Seade, Chief NAFTA negator for Andres Manuel López Obrador, at the Atlantic Council’s Annual Forum in Washington on December 14.

Economy & Business
International Markets

Inflection Points

Dec 8, 2018

China’s Europe strategy

By Frederick Kempe

Orban convened some Central European leaders with Beijing, and they laid the groundwork for the “16-plus-one” initiative based in Budapest that since then has provided China unprecedented regional influence.

China
Europe & Eurasia

New Atlanticist

Dec 8, 2018

OPEC attempts to recast its relationship with the United States

By Randolph Bell and Reed Blakemore

Though previous US administrations have taken an interest in OPEC and oil prices, Trump’s consumer-oriented approach to the oil market—and his willingness to use his Twitter account to advocate for that approach—has made always-difficult OPEC negotiations that much more challenging.

International Markets
International Organizations

Event Recap

Nov 29, 2018

Energy experts discuss the role of natural gas in Africa’s energy future

By Africa Center and Global Energy Center

In partnership with the Energy Futures Initiative, the Atlantic Council’s Africa and Global Energy Centers hosted a discussion on November 29 on the role of natural gas in Africa’s energy future, occasioned by the release of Africa50’s new report: Investing in Natural Gas for Africans: Doing Good and Doing Well. The event featured welcoming remarks […]

Africa
Economy & Business

Experts

Events