China Economic Spotlight

Cutting edge analysis on the economic tensions between the world’s two largest economies.

Taiwan Trilogy Pathfinder G7-China Econographics

From investment screening to tariffs, from export controls to sanctions—these are the tools that are defining the future of the US-China economic relationship. The US and China are reshaping their rules of engagement, and the GeoEconomics Center is positioned to provide data-driven analysis on the implications of institutionalizing friction between the world’s largest economies.

The Taiwan Trilogy

China Economic Spotlight

Report Jun 21, 2023

Sanctioning China in a Taiwan crisis: Scenarios and risks

By Charlie Vest and Agatha Kratz

New research on possible options and their costs of G7 sanctions on China in the event of a Taiwan Crisis.
China Economy & Business
China Economic Spotlight

Report Apr 1, 2024

Retaliation and resistance: China’s economic statecraft in a Taiwan crisis

By Logan Wright, Agatha Kratz, Charlie Vest, and Matt Mingey

New research on Chinese resilience to and potential against G7 sanctions in the event of a Taiwan Crisis.
China Economy & Business
China Economic Spotlight

Report Nov 12, 2024

Avoiding entanglement: G20 responses in a Taiwan crisis

By Matthew Mingey, Laura Gormley, and Logan Wright

This report identifies China’s likely goals for interactions with G20 nations under a Taiwan contingency, as well as each case country’s respective economic and policy reactions.
Brazil China

China Pathfinder

China Pathfinder

China is a global economic powerhouse, but its system remains opaque. Policymakers and financial experts disagree on basic facts about what is happening inside the country. To create a shared language for understanding the Chinese economy, the China Pathfinder project scores China and other open market economies across six key areas and presents an objective picture of China relative to the world.

Report

China Pathfinder: Annual Scorecard

by GeoEconomics Center and Rhodium Group

Over the past eight months, teams from the Atlantic Council and Rhodium Group have taken a dive into China’s economy to address a fundamental question: Is China becoming more or less like other open-market economies? 

The Big Story

The 2021 Economic Scorecard: How China stacks up with the US and its allies

by Josh Lipsky

With China, the story is never so simple. The truth is that China still hasn’t decided which direction its economy is ultimately headed. And we need a credible way to track its trajectory.

G7-China Economic Statecraft

G7-China Economic Radar

This interactive radar maps levels of exposure that G7 countries have to the Chinese economy across 12 different sectors.

Explore the Radar
China Economic Spotlight

Issue Brief Dec 20, 2024

Decoding French economic statecraft

Understanding how France “does” economic statecraft will be crucial for US and other Western policymakers in the months and years ahead.

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China Economic Spotlight

Issue Brief Mar 27, 2025

Canada needs an economic statecraft strategy to address its vulnerabilities

By Kimberly Donovan, Maia Nikoladze, Lize de Kruijf

To address threats from Russia and China and reduce trade overdependence on the United States, Canada’s federal government will need to consolidate economic power and devise an economic statecraft strategy that will leverage Canada’s economic tools to mitigate economic threats and vulnerabilities.
China Cybersecurity
China Economic Spotlight

Issue Brief Jun 6, 2025

How Japanese economic statecraft has shifted from promotion to protection

By Charles Lichfield

Japan is in a geopolitically challenging neighborhood and is witnessing the basic tenets of its foreign policy—from alignment with the United States to fostering a rules-based environment—come under unprecedented stress.
East Asia Economy & Business

Econographics on China

Econographics

Sep 8, 2026

The IMF’s boost to China’s currency is costing the world, ten years later

By Jeremy Mark

The renminbi was supposed to become a global currency. Instead, China’s tight controls have helped lay the groundwork for a more fragmented monetary system.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 28, 2026

The G20 needs more carrots to rebalance away from China

By Barbara C. Matthews

Tariffs alone won’t fix global imbalances. The G20 should use economic “carrots” to de-risk from China without destabilizing it.

China Economy & Business

Dispatches

Aug 28, 2026

Why China’s export-maximizing strategy is working—for now

By Martin Mühleisen

China’s economy faces real constraints, but Beijing’s repressive political system might manage them for far longer than expected.

China Economy & Business

Dispatches

Jul 27, 2026

What the latest US sanctions bill means for Russia—and for China, India, and Iran

By Maia Nikoladze

If it passes, the bill would affect several major countries that currently trade with Russia, and those effects should be factored into US planning.

China Financial Sanctions and Economic Coercion

Econographics

Jul 27, 2026

Why banning open-source AI is a bad idea

By JP Schnapper-Casteras

The best response to capable Chinese open models is not to make US developers less capable. It is to build better, safer, more competitive US models—open and closed.

Artificial Intelligence China

At the intersection of economics, finance, and foreign policy, the GeoEconomics Center is a translation hub with the goal of helping shape a better global economic future.

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