Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

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The next National Defense Strategy must get Russia right

Issue Brief

Feb 24, 2022

The next National Defense Strategy must get Russia right

By Clementine G. Starling-Daniels, Christian Trotti, Tyson Wetzel

The rapidly developing 2022 Russo-Ukrainian crisis raises a key question for US defense policy makers as they finalize the next National Defense Strategy (NDS): How can the NDS get Russia "right"? This issue brief seeks to answer this question by developing a US defense strategy for deterring and managing the Russian threat in Europe and beyond, building upon the authors' 2021 report, "Seizing the Advantage: A Vision for the Next US National Defense Strategy."

Conflict Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 24, 2022

Pavel and Trotti on Chinese hypersonic weapons and military modernization

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center Director Barry Pavel and Forward Defense Assistant Director Christian Trotti write in the Ripon Society’s magazine on Chinese military modernization and advance recommendations for US defense and diplomatic approaches.

China Defense Industry

In the News

Feb 24, 2022

Ashford in The New York Times: It’s official: The post-Cold War era is over

"The war now unfolding in Europe marks an end to that era, showing Americans — and the world — that US power is not absolute," writes Emma Ashford in The New York Times.

Ukraine

In the News

Feb 24, 2022

Pavel in Market Watch on NATO’s response to the Russia-Ukraine Crisis

By Atlantic Council

Barry Pavel paints a grim strategic landscape for what the United States and NATO are facing beyond the 2022 Russo-Ukrainian crisis.

China Conflict

In the News

Feb 24, 2022

Ashford in New York Times: It’s official: the Post-Cold War era is over

By Atlantic Council

On February 24, Emma Ashford had an op-ed published by the New York Times on the policy imperatives for the United States as the post-Cold War period comes to an end following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  “The war now unfolding in Europe marks an end to that (peaceful) era, showing Americans – and the world […]

Eastern Europe English

New Atlanticist

Feb 23, 2022

Russia Crisis Military Assessment: Is snatching a seaport Putin’s next move?

By Atlantic Council military fellows

The Kremlin could invade Ukraine beyond the separatist line of control in the Donbas with virtually no unambiguous warning, according to our military experts.

Belarus Conflict

In the News

Feb 23, 2022

Manning in Pacnet: Is the US capable of shaping a rules-based international order?

By Atlantic Council

On February 23, Robert Manning had his op-ed on the ability of the United States to shape a world order published by the Pacific Forum. He argues that the United States has urgent domestic needs that it needs to be tackled before it can offer solutions for similar problems on the international stage. “It is […]

Digital Policy Economy & Business

Hybrid Conflict Project

Feb 23, 2022

Today’s wars are fought in the ‘gray zone.’ Here’s everything you need to know about it.

By Forward Defense experts

Our experts help illuminate this shadowy zone of strategic competition—and offer ways for Washington and its allies to begin seizing the advantage. 

China Conflict

In the News

Feb 23, 2022

Crouch in RealClearDefense on transforming US strategic paradigms

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense nonresident senior fellow Matthew Crouch writes in RealClearDefense on recommendations for a holistic US policy about-face to meet changing Indo-Pacific security dynamics.

China Conflict

Fast Thinking

Feb 22, 2022

FAST THINKING: The West strikes back against Russia’s Ukraine incursion

By Atlantic Council

Germany canceled Nord Stream 2, while the US and Europe hit Russian banks and elites.

Crisis Management Economy & Business

In the News

Feb 22, 2022

Grieco in Space News: Why space alarmism is wrong and dangerous

By Atlantic Council

On February 22, Kelly Grieco published an article in SpaceNews, cautioning against space alarmism. She argues that such space race concerns can drive misperceptions and unnecessary spending and that the United States should focus on cooperation in space over competition. According to Grieco, “Mutually beneficial scientific cooperation between the United States and China mitigates the […]

China Defense Technologies

In the News

Feb 22, 2022

Iyer and Warrick in the Week on a Russian invasion

By Atlantic Council

Arun Iyer and Thomas Warrick comment on a Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Conflict Cybersecurity

In the News

Feb 22, 2022

Manning in CNN: President Biden says Vladimir Putin has chosen to invade Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On February 22, Fareed Zakaria cited Manning’s article about the ability of the United States to negotiate with China on his CNN show. In his Foreign Policy article, Manning wrote, “Henry Kissinger said recently of the U.S.-China relationship: ‘Our leaders and their leaders have to discuss the limits beyond which they will not push threats […]

China English

In the News

Feb 22, 2022

Warrick quoted in The Week on the outcomes of Russia’s prolonged invasion of Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

Conflict Crisis Management

Experts react

Feb 21, 2022

Russia just ordered troops into Ukraine again. What happens next?

By Atlantic Council experts

As the fast-moving situation on the ground develops, our experts weigh in on what this moment means for a world that could soon be forever altered.

Conflict Europe & Eurasia
Warrick on al-Ghad al-Arabi

In the News

Feb 21, 2022

Thomas Warrick in in al-Ghad al-Arabi on televised Russian rhetoric

By Atlantic Council

Thomas Warrick discusses Putin's military intentions with with Cairo-based al-Ghad al-Arabi.

Conflict Disinformation

In the News

Feb 21, 2022

Ashford in War on the Rocks: Russia recognizes breakaway territories in eastern Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On February 21, Ashford featured on the War on the Rocks Warcast, discussing the Russian recognition of the independence of breakaway territories of Eastern Ukraine. “I spoke with Dr. Emma Ashford to discuss the current military situation on Ukraine’s borders, trans-Atlantic diplomacy, and the implications of additional sanctions on the Russian economy. Emma is a […]

Eastern Europe Economy & Business

In the News

Feb 19, 2022

Manning in VOA: “US Indo-Pacific Strategy: Korea-Japan cooperation?” [translated from Korean]

By Atlantic Council

On February 19, Manning featured on a VOA broadcast about the Biden administration’s Indo-Pacific strategy. On the subject of the recent deployment of B-52 bombers to Guam, Manning argued, “It is designed to send a message both to North Korea and China, and I think it is also designed as an act of reassurance for […]

China Defense Policy

In the News

Feb 18, 2022

Manning in the Washington Post: Why is the Biden administration uniting our adversaries?

By Atlantic Council

On February 18, Robert Manning was quoted in an op-ed by Fareed Zakaria on how the policies of the Biden administration are pushing Russia and China closer together. “China is different. It is a rising world power that seeks greater influence as it gains economic strength. It has been aggressive in its policies towards some […]

China Indo-Pacific

In the News

Feb 18, 2022

Manning in The Hill: Ukraine, Taiwan and the credibility dilemma

By Atlantic Council

On February 18, Manning published his biweekly column in the Hill on the fallacy of linking the credibility of the United States on decisions made regarding Ukraine and Taiwan. Manning argues that equating the two situations oversimplifies the differing strategic value of the areas, and that the same calculus applied to the US withdrawal from […]

Afghanistan Defense Policy

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