Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Ashford in MSNBC: Russia’s Ukraine invasion may have been preventable

By Atlantic Council

On March 4, Emma Ashford was quoted by MSNBC on why it would have been beneficial to consider barring Ukraine from NATO to prevent escalation with Russia. “Emma Ashford, resident senior fellow with the New American Engagement Initiative in the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, wrote in an email that it was a ‘pity’ […]

Garlauskas featured in Reuters on Russian missile use and the implications for North Korea

On February 28, Markus Garlauskas, a nonresident senior fellow at the Asia Security Initiative, was quoted in Reuters on the impact of Russian missile use in Ukraine. As many countries in the Indo-Pacific are facing increased security concerns and developing their own missiles, Garlauskas argues that “North Korean and Chinese militaries are taking copious notes right […]

Kroenig in Fast Company on Putin’s nuclear alert

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig highlights the unlikeliness that Russia will escalate to nuclear warfare.

Kroenig on MSNBC discusses Putin’s attack on Ukrainian nuclear power plant

By Atlantic Council

Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig suggests that the West must remain vigilant as there is a chance that Russia may target Ukraine's nuclear plant again.

Stodder and Warrick in Lawfare on biometrics at US borders

By Atlantic Council

An Atlantic Council issue brief by Seth Stodder and Thomas Warrick is featured in a quarterly Lawfare blog article on AI and national security.

Preble on Net Assessment: Putin’s taunt: what are you going to do about it?

By Atlantic Council

On March 3, Christopher Preble joined his co-hosts on the Net Assessment podcast to discuss the implications of the war in Ukraine, focusing on escalation risks, the use of sanctions, and what the war may do to Europe’s defense posture. “On a somber day, Chris, Melanie, and Zack ponder the implications of the war in […]

Ashford in Fortune: Banks are stopping Putin from tapping a $630 billion war chest Russia stockpiled before invading Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On March 3, Emma Ashford was quoted in Fortune on government reserves of foreign currency. “Foreign reserves are a government’s holdings of gold, foreign debt, and foreign currency, which is usually denominated in the world’s most popular coins—dollars, euros, pounds, yen, and yuan. Although a country can hold foreign reserves in its own banks, governments […]

Cimmino quoted in the Washington Examiner on outlook for Ukraine conflict

On March 2, Scowcroft Strategy Initiative associate director Jeffrey Cimmino told the Washington Examiner that Putin may have no off-ramp short of escalation — and the conflict in Ukraine is likely to get worse before it gets better.

Manning in The Hill: Putin’s war in Ukraine is an inflection point

By Atlantic Council

On March 2, Robert Manning published his biweekly column in The Hill on the Russian invasion of Ukraine, calling it an inflection point that is set to reshape geopolitics. While Manning cautioned against predicting outcomes, he urged policymakers to remember that the enemy gets a vote in how the war plays out. More about our […]

Burrows and Preble in Responsible Statecraft: Do we really want another Cold War?

By Atlantic Council

On March 2, Mathew Burrows and Christopher Preble published an article in Responsible Statecraft on how to avoid a repeat of the Cold War with Russia following its invasion of Ukraine. “Over time, anger and resentment toward Moscow will give way to something else. The impulse to cut Russia out of the international system is […]

Ashford in the Christian Science Monitor: A new Iron Curtain? How Russia’s invasion will reshape the world

By Atlantic Council

On March 2, Emma Ashford was quoted in the Christian Science Monitor on how the Russian economy might adapt to Western sanctions. “How deep the new economic division goes may be contingent on the outcome of the Ukraine invasion. The Russian people might find it difficult to accept a deep plunge in their standard of […]

Roberts featured in VOA News on China’s economic relationship with Ukraine

On February 25, Dexter Tiff Roberts was featured in VOA News on China’s economic investments in Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital city. Roberts stated that Huawei’s investment in Kyiv’s metro system to construct a 4G wireless system, agreed in 2017, is now in peril due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In addition, continuing Chinese imports such as grains […]

Plitsas in Voice of America on Afghan evacuation

By Atlantic Council

Forward Defense's Alex Plitsas estimates the number Afghans that have escaped the Taliban in the last six months.

Kroenig quoted in Washington Examiner on China’s response to Ukraine crisis

By Atlantic Council

On March 1, Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig discussed China’s recent efforts to balance between supporting Russia and avoiding international condemnation with the Washington Examiner.