GeoStrategy Initiative Analysis and Events

Read and watch the GeoStrategy’s timely reports, issue briefs, articles, events, and videos to assess the world’s biggest strategic issues. The GeoStrategy Initiative develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners. Its competencies in long-range foresight and strategy development are vital assets to government and business leaders as they navigate a complex and unpredictable world.

Analysis

New Atlanticist

Jun 8, 2017

British Election: Can Data Science See Through the Fog of Terror Attacks?

By Brent M. Eastwood

Conservative Prime Minister Theresa May and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, the front-runners in the British general election, have endured a volatile race punctuated by two terror attacks that have rocked Britain. With campaigning suspended twice after each incident and British pollsters’ failure to predict Brexit, FutureSource queried a data science firm to get its reading […]

United Kingdom
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FutureSource

Jun 7, 2017

The 2017 UK General Election and the Future of US-UK Relations

By Claire Yorke

On June 8, the United Kingdom will vote in its second general election in just over two years. The last election in May 2015 resulted in a Conservative government, and led to the June 2016 national referendum on Britain’s membership in the European Union. Following the result in favor of Brexit, Prime Minister David Cameron—the leader […]

United Kingdom United States and Canada

FutureSource

Jun 7, 2017

British Election: Can Data Science See Through the Fog of Terror Attacks?

By Brent M. Eastwood

Conservative Prime Minister Theresa May and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, the front-runners in the British general election, have endured a volatile race punctuated by two terror attacks that have rocked Britain. With campaigning suspended twice after each incident and British pollsters’ failure to predict Brexit, FutureSource queried a data science firm to get its reading […]

United Kingdom

FutureSource

Jun 6, 2017

The UK and EU Must Moderate Brexit and the US Must Get Smart About What is Unfolding

By Ilana Bet-El

To use an old Thatcherite adage, the United States, United Kingdom and European Union are all living in cloud cuckoo land, seemingly vastly underestimating the medium- to long-term effects of Brexit: a dramatically weakened UK, an undermined EU, and fragmented transatlantic relations. Put another way: the transatlantic rift that has clearly already opened over NATO […]

Europe & Eurasia European Union

New Atlanticist

May 23, 2017

Kazakhstan’s Niche in China’s Belt and Road Initiative

By Alexandra Di Cocco

Chinese President Xi Jinping’s signature Belt and Road Initiative (BRI, formerly One Belt, One Road) is an economic integration project that will allow the often-overlooked Kazakhstan to capitalize on its unique geographic location to leverage geopolitical benefits from the initiative. The infrastructure project is designed to expand China’s influence beyond its immediate neighborhood with economic […]

Central Asia China

FutureSource

May 17, 2017

Data Firms React to Iranian Presidential Showdown

By Brent M. Eastwood

This blog post is part of a series analyzing the newest forms of data forecasting. The Iranian presidential election has leapt into the headlines as two candidates feverishly make their final arguments to voters. President Hassan Rouhani and conservative cleric Ebrahim Raisi have burst into the lead after two other hopefuls dropped out of the […]

Elections Iran

In the News

May 17, 2017

Engelke in Meeting of the Minds: On Benjamin Barber—Cities, Democracy, and Global Governance

By Peter Engelke

Read the full article here.

FutureSource

May 8, 2017

Data Firms Weigh In On South Korean Presidential Race During Polling Blackout

By Brent M. Eastwood

This blog post is part of a series analyzing the newest forms of data forecasting. The South Korean presidential election scheduled for tomorrow has been fraught with anxiety as voters remain divided over the direction of the country’s political future. The aftermath of a presidential impeachment has placed heightened scrutiny over the presidential race. North […]

Elections Korea

FutureSource

May 4, 2017

The Prediction Game: Data Science Firms vs. Pollsters on Sunday’s French Presidential Election

By Brent M. Eastwood and Mathew Burrows

Pollsters used to have the monopoly on predicting electoral outcomes. But startups that use data science, machine learning, and artificial intelligence have been crowding into that market and in several cases besting the pollsters at their own game. Brexit and Donald Trump’s electoral victory confounded pollsters, but were forecast by several of the data science […]

Elections Europe & Eurasia

Commanders Series

May 4, 2017

Commanders Series Event with Chief of Staff of the Army General Mark Milley

By Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative

On May 4, the Atlantic Council’s Brent Scowcroft Center for International Security hosted Chief of Staff of the Army General Mark Milley at the Army and Navy Club on Farragut Square in downtown Washington DC. Dr. Nora Bensahel interviewed General Milley after his opening statements and a welcome by former Secretary of the Army John […]

Events