GeoStrategy Initiative Analysis and Events

Read and watch the GeoStrategy’s timely reports, issue briefs, articles, events, and videos to assess the world’s biggest strategic issues. The GeoStrategy Initiative develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners. Its competencies in long-range foresight and strategy development are vital assets to government and business leaders as they navigate a complex and unpredictable world.

Analysis

Event Recap

Dec 4, 2012

Pre-Briefing of the Global Trends 2030 Report

By Jason Harmala

On Tuesday, December 4, the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative, of the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, hosted Dr. Mathew J. Burrows, counselor, US National Intelligence Council (NIC) for a talk about the soon-to-be released Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds report.

Event Recap

Dec 3, 2012

Agenda | Global Trends 2030

By Rachel Weatherly

US Leadership in a Post-Western World Click on each panel for a summary, full video, and trancript

FutureSource

Nov 29, 2012

Bureaucrats in Space

By Hanna Camp

Recent advancements in space technology and commercial space industry promise to spur a dramatic surge in space tourism and research in the coming decades. While space enthusiasts might celebrate the news by calculating whether their retirement funds can be made over as space-jump funds, the bureaucratically-inclined have a good reason to worry: the current system […]

FutureSource

Nov 20, 2012

The Rise of Commercial Outer Space

By Hanna Camp

Faced with deep cuts in its operating budget, NASA has undertaken efforts to broaden international cooperation and establish a domestic commercial space industry. With the space shuttle now retired, NASA needs a way to get large amounts of cargo and personnel into space, and private companies are the only ticket up. 

Space Technology & Innovation

New Atlanticist

Nov 6, 2012

Election Day 2012: Another UNIVAC Moment!

By Paul Saffo

On election night 60 years ago, CBS News used a UNIVAC I computer to predict that Eisenhower would win the 1952 presidential election by a landslide.

Elections Politics & Diplomacy

New Atlanticist

Nov 5, 2012

What Can Hurricane Sandy Tell Us About Climate Change?

By Paul Saffo

Linking a single storm to climate change is perilous at best for the simple reason that anything less than a decade or two of data isn’t climate,  it’s just weather. But Sandy may yet prove the exception owing to its sheer anomalousness.

Energy & Environment

Event Recap

Oct 9, 2012

The New Energy World of 2030

By Jason Harmala

On October 9, the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative hosted Dr. Daniel Yergin for a discussion with Atlantic Council President & CEO Frederick Kempe to discuss his new book The Quest.

Energy & Environment

New Atlanticist

Sep 11, 2012

Looking Back: The Wonders We Didn’t Expect

By Paul Saffo

It has been a wild ride of a century full of expected wonders. Molecular manufacturing became a reality well before 2050, turning all sorts of once-valuable materials into commodities, and yes, we even eventually got flying cars.

FutureSource

Jun 22, 2012

How Government Thinks – and How it Should

By Josh Kerbel

It is common knowledge that increasing societal complexity (i.e., interdependence and interconnectedness) is challenging the fundamental business models of an ever-growing range of industries. Thus, the entertainment, technology, manufacturing, information—the list could go on and on—industries are all under pressure to change the ways they think.

Event Recap

Jun 12, 2012

Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds Red Team Exercise

The Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) held a joint Red Team Exercise on June 12 to inform and improve the NIC’s Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds report. The exercise explored whether the report identified the correct trends, how these trends were applied to different countries and regions, and whether the […]

Globe

Event Recap

May 9, 2012

The Future of Europe in an Interconnected and Polycentric World

By Jason Harmala

The Atlantic Council and the European Union Institute for Security Studies (EUISS) hosted a lunch debate and presentation of the European Strategy and Policy Analysis System (ESPAS) report.

European Union International Organizations

Issue Brief

Mar 1, 2012

The United States and the Global Future

By Uri Dadush, Banning Garrett, David Ignatius, and James B. Steinberg

This piece is co-authored by Uri Dadush, senior associate and director of the Carnegie Endowment’s International Economics Program; Banning Garrett, director of the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative; David Ignatius, associate editor and twice-weekly columnist for the Washington Post; James B. Steinberg, dean and professor at the Maxwell School, Syracuse University.

Economy & Business United States and Canada

Event Recap

Feb 1, 2012

Pandemics and the End of Globalization

By Adrienne Chuck

The Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) held a joint workshop, “Pandemics and the End of Globalization” on February 1 to inform the NIC’s Global Trends 2030 report.

Event Recap

Jan 25, 2012

Global Trends 2030: Urbanization Nexus

The Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) held a joint workshop, “Urbanization Nexus” on January 25 to inform the NIC’s Global Trends 2030 report. What do urbanization trends mean for the world of 2030? Which will be the impact of resource constraints and demographic realities on urban and rural populations? What […]

FutureSource

Jan 23, 2012

In Search of Sand Piles and Butterflies

By Banning Garrett

“Disruptive change” that produces “strategic shocks” has become an increasing concern for policymakers, shaken by momentous events of the last couple of decades that were not on their radar screens – from the fall of the Berlin Wall and the 9/11 terrorist attacks to the 2008 financial crisis and the “Arab Spring.”

A New World of Global Migration 2030

Event Recap

Jan 11, 2012

A New World of Global Migration 2030

By Jason Harmala

What will be the drivers of global migration in 2030? What will be the reactions – political, economic, and social – of countries that receive migrants? The Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council (NIC) January 11th hosted the workshop “A New World of Global Migration” to inform the NICs global trends 2030 […]

New Atlanticist

Dec 5, 2011

The Gulf Cooperation Council Must Rethink the Arab Awakening

By Rena Zuabi

Through a deal brokered by the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in Saudi Arabia on November 27, vice-president Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi recently named opposition leader Mohammed Basindwa as Yemen’s new interim prime minister.

Event Recap

Dec 2, 2011

Impulses: Trends That Will Shape India’s World

By Adrienne Chuck

On December 2, the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and South Asia Center hosted a discussion on the global trends shaping India’s future towards 2030.

India

Event Recap

Dec 2, 2011

The United States and the Global Future

By Adrienne Chuck

On December 2, the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council hosted a workshop entitled “The United States and the Global Future” to inform the upcoming Global Trends 2030 report.

The Changing Significance of Geography: from Cyber Space to Outer Space, and the Spaces in Between

Event Recap

Nov 14, 2011

The Changing Significance of Geography: from Cyber Space to Outer Space, and the Spaces in Between

By Adrienne Chuck

On Monday November 14th, the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and the US National Intelligence Council hosted an all-day roundtable workshop entitled “The Changing Significance of Geography: from Cyber Space to Outer Space, and the Spaces in Between”.

Cybersecurity Security & Defense

Events

The GeoStrategy Initiative, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, leverages strategy development and long-range foresight to serve as the preeminent thought-leader and convener for policy-relevant analysis and solutions to understand a complex and unpredictable world. Through its work, the initiative strives to revitalize, adapt, and defend a rules-based international system in order to foster peace, prosperity, and freedom for decades to come.

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.