GeoStrategy Initiative Analysis and Events

Read and watch the GeoStrategy’s timely reports, issue briefs, articles, events, and videos to assess the world’s biggest strategic issues. The GeoStrategy Initiative develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners. Its competencies in long-range foresight and strategy development are vital assets to government and business leaders as they navigate a complex and unpredictable world.

Analysis

Blog Post

Feb 7, 2024

State of the Order: How the final month of 2023 shaped the democratic world order

The State of the Order breaks down the month's most important events impacting the democratic world order.

China Economy & Business

In the News

Feb 2, 2024

Michta in City Journal and RealClearWorld on how the United States can achieve national renewal

On February 1, Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow in the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in City Journal and RealClearWorld on how the United States can revitalize itself. He argues that US leaders must consider how each of their decisions will help American citizens, bring to an end the ideological polarization dividing the country, […]

National Security Politics & Diplomacy

In the News

Jan 17, 2024

Bayoumi in The New York Times on a paint that can reduce emissions

By Atlantic Council

On January 17, Imran Bayoumi, Associate Director of the Scowcroft Security Initiative, was quoted by The New York Times DealBook newsletter on one of the six ‘snow leopards’ to watch for in 2024, a super-reflective white paint that can reflect 98% of sunlight, lowering air-conditioning needs and emissions.

Climate Change & Climate Action Energy & Environment
Snow leopard in the rain

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 17, 2024

Six ‘snow leopards’ to watch for in 2024

Atlantic Council foresight experts spot the underappreciated phenomena that could have outsize impact on the world, driving global change and shaping the future.

Climate Change & Climate Action Defense Technologies

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 17, 2024

Global Foresight 2024

In this year’s Global Foresight edition, our experts identify the top risks and opportunities for 2024. Our foresight team spots “snow leopards” that could have major unexpected impacts in 2024 and beyond. And we share findings from our survey of global strategists and foresight practitioners on how human affairs could unfold over the next decade.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 17, 2024

The top risks and opportunities for 2024

By Peter Engelke, Paul Saffo

2023 was marked by war in the Middle East and in Europe. What else looms on the horizon? The Atlantic Council’s top experts brought their globe-spanning expertise to the task of forecasting the near future.

Artificial Intelligence China

In the News

Jan 15, 2024

Michta in RealClearWorld on the necessity of a revised US national security strategy

By Atlantic Council

On January 18, an article written by Andrew Michta, Director and Senior Fellow in the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was featured in RealClearWorld discussing how the United States requires a new national security strategy to better address both the war in Ukraine and larger “period of protracted systemic instability worldwide.”

Conflict National Security

In the News

Jan 14, 2024

Michta in Politico discussing the need for a new US national security strategy

By Atlantic Council

On January 14, Andrew Michta, Director and Senior Fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published by Politico on why Congress’s failure to pass the Ukraine aid package in December 2023 demonstrates that the United States should develop a new national security strategy. He argues that “the U.S. and its allies should have laid out […]

Conflict National Security

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 12, 2024

Welcome to 2034: What the world could look like in ten years, according to nearly 300 experts  

To survey the future, we polled global strategists and foresight practitioners on our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next decade. Check out their forecasts on everything from the likelihood of war over Taiwan to the future of AI.

China Climate Change & Climate Action

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 12, 2024

The Global Foresight 2024 survey: Full results

In the fall of 2023, the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security surveyed the future, asking leading global strategists and foresight practitioners around the world to answer our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next ten years. Here are the full results. 

China Climate Change & Climate Action

New Atlanticist

Dec 9, 2023

Declaring things to make them real: 75 years of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights

By John Cotton Richmond

The rights declared in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights have stood the test of time and are as meaningful today as ever before.

International Norms International Organizations

In the News

Dec 8, 2023

Michta in Verkkouutiset discussing civic responsibility for defense

By Atlantic Council

On December 6, Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow with the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was featured in a Verkkouutiset article. Michta contends that the abolishment of conscription into the United States armed forces has led American civilians to be disconnected from citizen soldiers. He advocates for a “new form of civic service focused on […]

National Security Security & Defense

In the News

Dec 6, 2023

Michta in Hospodářské Noviny discussing transatlantic arms production capabilities

On December 4, Andrew A. Michta was quoted in a Hospodářské Noviny piece that discusses the state of global industrial defense bases and their ability to impact the war in Ukraine. Michta warns that Europe and America are slow to start arms production — both in their support of Ukraine, and their own domestic defenses. […]

China Defense Industry

In the News

Dec 1, 2023

Michta in City Journal discussing the Hamas attack

By Atlantic Council

On October 10, an article by Dr. Andrew Mitcha, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in City Journal on the implications of Hamas’s attack on Israel for strategic competition. Michta argued that the attack demonstrates that mass is still key on the battlefield and the possibility of a wider war […]

Conflict Defense Industry

In the News

Nov 30, 2023

Michta on Al Jazeera discussing the war in Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On November 29, an interview with Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was released by Al Jazeera Balkans. Michta discusses the war in Ukraine and European security architecture, noting that Russia will be able to rebuild its military in only a few years.

Conflict NATO

Report

Nov 30, 2023

Four scenarios for the future of multilateral peacebuilding and conflict prevention

By Peter Engelke, Anca Agachi, Imran Bayoumi

The scenarios on this page explore four alternative, plausible narratives envisioning the world in the mid-2030s, guided by dynamic interactions of drivers and trends highlighted in the larger The Future of Multilateral Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention report.

Crisis Management International Organizations

Report

Nov 30, 2023

The future of multilateral peacebuilding and conflict prevention

By Peter Engelke, Anca Agachi, Imran Bayoumi

The multilateral system, defined as the set of rules, norms, and institutions that together constitute the world’s governance architecture, is not static.

Africa China

In the News

Nov 22, 2023

Michta in Politico discussing how a “federalized” EU would impact US interests

By Atlantic Council

On November 21, Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in Politico on proposed European Union treaty revisions that “would transform the EU from a confederation of sovereign countries into a unitary federal entity.” Dr. Michta argues that, while this shift has been ignored by US policymakers, it […]

NATO Politics & Diplomacy

Blog Post

Nov 20, 2023

State of the Order: Assessing October 2023

The State of the Order breaks down the month's most important events impacting the democratic world order.

China Economy & Business

Blog Post

Nov 20, 2023

State of the Order: Assessing September 2023

The State of the Order breaks down the month's most important events impacting the democratic world order.

China Economy & Business

Events

The GeoStrategy Initiative, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, leverages strategy development and long-range foresight to serve as the preeminent thought-leader and convener for policy-relevant analysis and solutions to understand a complex and unpredictable world. Through its work, the initiative strives to revitalize, adapt, and defend a rules-based international system in order to foster peace, prosperity, and freedom for decades to come.

The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.