The Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, serves to directly advance the Scowcroft Center’s core mission by developing sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners. Its competencies in long-range foresight and strategy development are vital assets to government and business leaders as they navigate a complex and unpredictable world. Through its work, the initiative strives to revitalize, adapt, and defend a rules-based international system in order to foster peace, prosperity, and freedom for decades to come.
Featured Strategy publications
Scorecard Jul 7, 2022
Scowcroft strategy scorecard: NATO’s Strategic Concept clear on threats, but will require sustained commitment from Alliance
By Atlantic Council
Several of the Scowcroft Center’s strategy experts analyzed the Alliance’s new Strategic Concept, assessing the strategy based on five criteria. The reviewers generally agreed that the document was clear-sighted about threats facing the Alliance. However, implementing the ambitious strategy will require sustained commitment and high investment from Alliance members. Here are the full assessments.
Issue Brief Jun 28, 2022
Twenty-first-century diplomacy: Strengthening US diplomacy for the challenges of today and tomorrow
By Jeffrey Cimmino, Amanda J. Rothschild
The practice of diplomacy has changed over the past several decades, and significant work remains to be done to fully adapt US diplomacy to the challenges of our time.
Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Jan 28, 2021
The Longer Telegram: Toward a new American China strategy
China presents the most important challenge to the United States in the twenty-first century. To address this challenge, the United States urgently needs “an integrated, operational, and bipartisan national strategy.”
Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Apr 11, 2021
The future of security in space: A thirty-year US strategy
By Clementine G. Starling, Mark J. Massa, Lt Col Christopher P. Mulder, and Julia T. Siegel
Outer space is rapidly transforming as new actors test new limits. This Atlantic Council Strategy Paper calls for the United States and its allies and partners to secure space over the next three decades or risk wasting the promise of this emerging domain.
Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Jul 7, 2020
A global strategy for shaping the post-COVID-19 world
By Jeffrey Cimmino, Rebecca Katz, Matthew Kroenig, Josh Lipsky, Barry Pavel
The COVID-19 pandemic is an acute public health and economic crisis that is further destabilizing an already weakened rules-based international system. With cooperation, determination, and resolve, however, the United States and its allies can recover from the crisis and revitalize an adapted rules-based system to bring about decades of future freedom, peace, and prosperity.
Strategic Insights Memo Jun 29, 2020
Navigating the growing Russia-China strategic alignment
By Stephen J. Hadley, Paula J. Dobriansky
On May 13, 2020, the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security hosted a strategy consortium with a small group of experts and officials to discuss the evolution of the Russia-China relationship and how the United States and its allies should navigate it. This paper summarizes many of the points made during this meeting. Background: The […]
Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Oct 30, 2019
Present at the re-creation: A global strategy for revitalizing, adapting, and defending a rules-based international system
By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig
We need a new strategy—one that is both ambitious and innovative, geared towards meeting the challenges and opportunities that the new decade brings.
Featured Strategy events
Global trends and risks
The new decade is in rapid flux and is characterized by geopolitical turbulence, economic complexity, technological disruption, demographic shifts and social interconnectedness. In this changing environment, we focus on identifying the key trends and risks which will fundamentally shape the future of humanity and global affairs. Our work encompasses a wide range of issues, from demography and urbanization to migration, power transitions and global governance, but is always driven by the principle that foresight is a key mindset for decision-making.
Technology and innovation
The Fourth Industrial Revolution is already underway. Technological development will fundamentally alter the global geopolitical landscape by changing governance structures, challenging human ingenuity and demanding innovative policy responses. Our team analyzes the political, socioeconomic, ecological, and security implications of emerging technologies, maps the evolution of innovation ecosystems and distills blueprints for entrepreneurship, in the Unites States and globally.
The global power shift towards Asia, the United States’ relative decline and the emergence of transnational threats such as climate change are pulling at the threads of the post-World War II international system. Our team’s research discerns the outline of the dawning multipolar order by exploring power transitions, geopolitical shifts, and civil society movements. At the same time, we seek to challenge the assumptions which have been underpinning US foreign policy for the last 70 years and adapt them for current times.
Non-traditional security challenges
In the 21st century, the definition of security and its global architecture are changing under the pressure of transnational, non-traditional threats such as migration, climate change and inequality, in an unresponsive global governance system. SSI is reframing security policy paradigms by bringing into the fold cutting-edge issues such as environmental security, peacebuilding, resilience and illicit trade, and providing policy solutions for the international community, states and citizens.
Featured Foresight publications
Report Nov 4, 2021
What future for the Western Sahel?
By Richard Cincotta and Stephen Smith
The Western Sahel is in a demographic impasse. To work their way out of this dilemma, Sahelian governments must shift a significant part of their development focus and funding to policies and programs aimed at preventing adolescent marriages and childbearing, promoting girls’ education, securing women’s participation in public- and private-sector workplaces, and achieving small, healthy, well-educated families.
Report Jun 16, 2021
IN BRIEF: Fifteen takeaways from our new report measuring US and Chinese global influence
By Jonathan D. Moyer, Collin J. Meisel, Austin S. Matthews, David K. Bohl, and Mathew J. Burrows
The Formal Bilateral Influence Capacity Index tracks and quantifies the intensifying competition between China and the United States, measuring influence between pairs of states over the last six decades through the volume of their interactions and the dependence that countries have on one another.
In-Depth Research & Reports Apr 21, 2021
2025 Post-Covid Scenarios: Latin America and the Caribbean
By Pepe Zhang, Peter Engelke
The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) has found that the COVID-19 pandemic has led to the worst economic decline in Latin America and the Caribbean in two hundred years. In addition to its economic toll, the pandemic has had a devastating impact on the region’s society and health systems. Although the region represents just 8 percent […]
Report Jan 18, 2021
Mapping green innovation ecosystems: Evaluating the success factors for the world’s leading greentech-innovation centers
By Peter Engelke, Margaret Jackson, Randolph Bell
Enabling current and future generations to mitigate climate change requires the urgent creation and scaling up of technologies that minimize and reverse the impact of human activities on the environment. The ecosystems that foster innovation in green technologies, and the success factors that enable these ecosystems, must be better understood in order to replicate them around the world.
Issue Brief Jun 1, 2020
Taking stock: Where are geopolitics headed in the COVID-19 era?
By Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel
The COVID-19 pandemic has stressed pressure points in the global order and threatens to unravel the rules-based international system. This paper examines the geopolitical implications of the pandemic by identifying key strategic shocks and tensions exacerbated by the virus. It also identifies uncertainties for the global order and provides policy recommendations for how the United States and its allies should address the pandemic.
What world post-COVID-19? interview series
Featured Democratic Order publications
Report Jun 13, 2022
Toward a Democratic Technology Alliance: An innovation edge that favors freedom
By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig
A Democratic Technology Alliance would facilitate the development of common rules and norms in the technology space, consistent with democratic values, and ensure that the free world prevails in the race for advanced technologies.
Report Jun 1, 2022
A Democratic Trade Partnership: Ally shoring to counter coercion and secure supply chains
By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig
A Democratic Trade and Economic Partnership could provide an integrated framework for leading democracies and other partners to selectively decouple from revisionist autocracies and foster free, fair, and secure trade.
Report Dec 10, 2021
Event report: Transatlantic renewal in an era of strategic competition
By Ash Jain, Joel Kesselbrenner
As the world enters a new era of strategic competition, the United States, Canada, and Europe must work together to advance shared values and interests and foster a rules-based international order.
Report Dec 7, 2021
An Alliance of Democracies: From concept to reality in an era of strategic competition
By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig, and Jonas Parello-Plesner
With the rules-based democratic order under threat, the United States and its allies need new entities that facilitate cooperation not just across the transatlantic, but among larger groups of democracies worldwide.
Report Jun 8, 2021
From the G7 to a D-10: Strengthening democratic cooperation for today’s challenges
By Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig
With the rules-based democratic order under threat, leading democracies need to develop common strategic approaches that pool their collective influence to confront today’s challenges.
Issue Brief Feb 16, 2021
The North Atlantic community renewed: Challenges, trends, and solutions
By Richard D. Hooker, Jr.
With 900 million people and $1 trillion in defense spending, the United States and Europe represent by far the largest, oldest, and most capable economic and security community in the world.
Issue Brief Dec 23, 2020
Countering China’s challenge to the free world: A report for the Free World Commission
By Jeffrey Cimmino, Ash Jain, Matthew Kroenig
The increasing assertiveness of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) poses a significant challenge to the interests and values of likeminded allies and partners and a rules-based internationa system.
Issue Brief Dec 23, 2020
Countering Russia’s challenge to the free world
By Edward Fishman, Ash Jain
Over the past decade, the Kremlin has executed a concerted strategy to undermine the cohesion of, and confidence in, democratically-elected governments in Europe and around the world. In response, leading democracies have acted to counter Russia by enacting sanctions and pursuing other measures aimed at defending frontline states against Russian aggression.
Report Dec 20, 2019
Leading the free world: How America benefits
By Paul D. Miller
Americans have been the unconscious beneficiaries of a world order that would not exist without them. Just as we take for granted electricity and plumbing, so to we take for granted the peace and prosperity of our system.